CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Gradski stadion Varazdin
Referee: D. Strukan
NK Varazdin
Match Timeline
HNK Rijeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
I. Canjuga ↔ T. Duvnjak
NK Varazdin
🔄
46'
L. Skaricic ↔ S. Lesjak
NK Varazdin
🔄
46'
G. Sikosek ↔ A. Borsic
NK Varazdin
54'
L. Mamic
NK Varazdin
🟨
67'
Aleksa Latković
NK Varazdin
🟨
67'
Ante Majstorović
HNK Rijeka
🔄
68'
D. Adu Adjei ↔ D. Cop
HNK Rijeka
🔄
68'
D. Legbo ↔ G. Rukavina
HNK Rijeka
🔄
74'
A. Latkovic ↔ M. Vuk
NK Varazdin
🔄
77'
A. Gojak ↔ S. Vignato
HNK Rijeka
🔄
81'
I. Tavares ↔ S. Ilinkovic
NK Varazdin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.7%
-
Probability Distribution
NK Varazdin Win 44.6%
Draw 18.1%
HNK Rijeka Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Varazdin1.22
HNK Rijeka1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
WWDLW
41 GF / 43 GA
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WLDWL
58 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
20
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
20
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 32 matches
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 46 matches
NK Varazdin Statistic HNK Rijeka
13 Wins 17
8 Draws 14
11 Losses 15
41 Goals For 58
43 Goals Against 52
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
20 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 14
7 Clean Sheets 16
7 Failed To Score 15
3.59 Shots On Goal 3.67
10.84 Total Shots 12.13
3.5 Corners 4.7
41.6% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. HNK Rijeka arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Varazdin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and HNK Rijeka in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HNK Rijeka having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HNK Rijeka.

NK Varazdin Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 44 points from 30 games, NK Varazdin bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at -:-, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Mamut (9 goals), A. Latkovic (7 goals), I. Tavares (6 goals), with creative support from A. Latkovic (6 assists), F. Maglica (5 assists), I. Mamut (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a balanced approach.

HNK Rijeka Analysis

HNK Rijeka approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 42 points from 30 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Fruk (11 goals), Tiago Dantas (7 goals), Ante Matej Jurić (4 goals), with creative support from Tiago Dantas (6 assists), A. Orec (4 assists), T. Fruk (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Varazdin won 6 times, HNK Rijeka won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from NK Varazdin's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.9%)
Predicted formations: NK Varazdin 4-1-4-1 / HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Varazdin wins 6, draws 3, HNK Rijeka wins 6
Stats
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 12
5 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 3
47% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Goal 3
1 Shots off Goal 10
0 Blocked Shots 2
1 Shots insidebox 12
1 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
380 Total passes 378
302 Passes accurate 314
0.82 expected_goals 1.34
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NK Varazdin
Formation
HNK Rijeka
O. Zelenika
O. Zelenika
L. Skaricic
L. Skaricic
M. Barac
M. Barac
N. Tepsic
N. Tepsic
F. Maglica
F. Maglica
I. Canjuga
I. Canjuga
D. Puclin
D. Puclin
G. Sikosek
G. Sikosek
A. Latkovic
A. Latkovic
L. Mamic
L. Mamic
I. Tavares
I. Tavares
M. Zlomislic
M. Zlomislic
J. Lasickas
J. Lasickas
A. Majstorovic
A. Majstorovic
M. Devetak
M. Devetak
N. Bodetic
N. Bodetic
A. Gojak
A. Gojak
B. Pavic
B. Pavic
A. Barco
A. Barco
D. Legbo
D. Legbo
D. Adu Adjei
D. Adu Adjei
A. Juric
A. Juric
NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
O. Zelenika
G
4
L. Skaricic
↓ 46'
D
44
M. Barac
D
16
N. Tepsic
D
23
F. Maglica
M
28
I. Canjuga
↓ 46'
M
6
D. Puclin
M
20
G. Sikosek
↓ 46'
M
10
A. Latkovic
↓ 74' 🟨 67'
F
22
L. Mamic
⚽ 54'
F
38
I. Tavares
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
33
J. Silic
G
12
P. Bockaj
D
7
M. Vuk
↑ 74'
F
15
S. Ilinkovic
↑ 81'
M
8
T. Duvnjak
↑ 46'
M
2
S. Lesjak
↑ 46'
D
18
Paizinho
F
17
I. Mamut
F
24
M. Marina
M
25
A. Borsic
↑ 46'
D
30
L. Posinkovic
D
HNK Rijeka 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
M. Zlomislic
G
23
J. Lasickas
D
45
A. Majstorovic
🟨 67'
D
34
M. Devetak
D
91
N. Bodetic
D
14
A. Gojak
↓ 77'
M
66
B. Pavic
55
A. Barco
M
24
D. Legbo
↓ 68'
M
18
D. Adu Adjei
↓ 68'
F
77
A. Juric
F
Substitutes
99
A. Todorovic
G
7
T. Morchiladze
M
3
S. Cletus
M
9
D. Cop
↑ 68'
F
8
D. Petrovic
M
20
M. Ndockyt
M
19
S. Vignato
↑ 77'
F
11
G. Rukavina
↑ 68'
F
2
L. Kitin
D
79
A. Samateh
F
Last matches: NK Varazdin
23.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
W
15.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
09.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
03.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
26.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
17.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
03.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
20.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
2
L
13.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
07.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
28.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
22.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
15.02.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Križevci
0
3
L
14.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
1
1
D
31.01.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
26.01.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Emirates Club
4
0
W
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
08.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
W
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
0
W
26.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
18.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
2
L
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
3
1
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
14.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
08.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
H2H: NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka
22.04.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
14.02.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
L
09.11.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1
2
W
13.04.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
11.08.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
3
1
W
03.03.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2
0
L
25.11.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
2
L
03.09.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2
2
D
14.05.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
L
06.11.22
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
Last matches: NK Varazdin
23.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
W
09.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
12.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
03.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
13.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
28.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
22.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kairat Almaty
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Sesvete
7
2
W
19.12.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
3
L
07.12.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
2
W
09.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
25.10.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
1
3
L
26.09.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
1
W
13.09.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
2
0
W
30.08.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
17.08.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
0
0
D
04.08.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
H2H at home: NK Varazdin
22.04.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
11.08.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
3
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
2
L
14.05.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
06.11.22
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
0
W
18.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
20.01.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
2
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
30.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
09.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
06.11.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1
1
D
01.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
18.10.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
1
1
D
05.10.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
FC Noah
0
1
L
22.09.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
2
3
L
H2H away: HNK Rijeka
22.04.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
L
11.08.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
3
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
2
W
14.05.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2
0
L
06.11.22
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
0
3
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D