CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas
Referee: P. Pavlesic
NK Slaven Belupo
Match Timeline
Vukovar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Ivan Čović
NK Slaven Belupo
10'
J. Puljic · Assist: R. Gonzalez
Vukovar
🟨
28'
Ivan Ćubelić
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
33'
F. Jovic ↔ M. Petrovic
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
41'
Lovro Banovec
Vukovar
43'
J. Mitrovic · Assist: L. Crepulja
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
46'
J. Gurlica ↔ L. Klanac
Vukovar
49'
M. Dabro · Assist: G. Sivalec
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
57'
Antonio Bosec
Vukovar
🔄
59'
G. Sivalec ↔ L. Bosnjak
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
61'
Leon Bošnjak
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
64'
Dominik Kovačić
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
64'
Luka Klanac
Vukovar
🔄
68'
S. Butic ↔ A. Jurilj
Vukovar
🟨
72'
Alen Jurilj
Vukovar
🔄
79'
A. Bosec ↔ J. Spoljaric
Vukovar
🔄
82'
F. Mazar ↔ V. Medjimorec
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
82'
M. Dabro ↔ I. Lepinjica
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
89'
K. Cabrajic ↔ M. Tadic
Vukovar
🟨
90'
Marko Petrovic
NK Slaven Belupo
90'
R. Gonzalez · Assist: E. Shabani
Vukovar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
NK Slaven Belupo Win 69.3%
Draw 14%
Vukovar Win 16.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Slaven Belupo1.57
Vukovar1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
WWDLW
41 GF / 50 GA
Vukovar Vukovar
WLDWL
31 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
21
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
18
3.71
Shots on Goal
2.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 31 matches
Vukovar Vukovar 31 matches
NK Slaven Belupo Statistic Vukovar
9 Wins 5
10 Draws 9
12 Losses 17
41 Goals For 31
50 Goals Against 60
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
21 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 26
19 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 9
3.71 Shots On Goal 2.58
11.68 Total Shots 7.65
3.58 Corners 2.77
47.2% Ball Possession 34.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vukovar. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Slaven Belupo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vukovar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vukovar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

NK Slaven Belupo Analysis

With 37 points from 31 games and a place of 6, NK Slaven Belupo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Jagusic (7 goals), Josip Mitrović (7 goals), I. Nestorovski (6 goals), with creative support from Ante Šuto (5 assists), A. Jagusic (4 assists), L. Crepulja (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.

Vukovar Analysis

Vukovar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 24 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a -:- goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Puljic (13 goals), R. Gonzalez (6 goals), Lovro Banovec (3 goals), with creative support from Lovro Banovec (4 assists), M. Ticinovic (3 assists), R. Gonzalez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, NK Slaven Belupo won 3 times, Vukovar won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from NK Slaven Belupo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: NK Slaven Belupo 4-3-3 / Vukovar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Slaven Belupo wins 3, draws 3, Vukovar wins 0
Stats
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar Vukovar
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
427 Total passes 312
347 Passes accurate 235
1.36 expected_goals 1.26
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NK Slaven Belupo
Formation
Vukovar
O. Hadzikic
O. Hadzikic
F. Kruselj
F. Kruselj
D. Kovacic
D. Kovacic
Z. Katalinic
Z. Katalinic
F. Jovic
F. Jovic
I. Cubelic
I. Cubelic
L. Crepulja
🎯
L. Crepulja
F. Mazar
F. Mazar
J. Mitrovic
J. Mitrovic
M. Dabro
M. Dabro
G. Sivalec
🎯
G. Sivalec
A. Djakovic
A. Djakovic
A. Bosec
A. Bosec
M. Zivkovic
M. Zivkovic
J. Gurlica
J. Gurlica
K. Cabrajic
K. Cabrajic
E. Shabani
🎯
E. Shabani
V. Caic
V. Caic
S. Butic
S. Butic
R. Gonzalez
🎯
R. Gonzalez
L. Banovec
L. Banovec
J. Puljic
J. Puljic
NK Slaven Belupo 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
O. Hadzikic
G
18
F. Kruselj
D
4
D. Kovacic
🟨 64'
D
5
Z. Katalinic
D
22
F. Jovic
↓ 33'
D
15
I. Cubelic
🟨 28'
M
21
L. Crepulja
🎯 43'
M
17
F. Mazar
↓ 82'
M
11
J. Mitrovic
⚽ 43'
F
7
M. Dabro
⚽ 49' ↓ 82'
F
26
G. Sivalec
🎯 49' ↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
32
I. Covic
🟨 -5'
G
1
T. Kolar
G
2
V. Medjimorec
↑ 82'
D
23
I. Lepinjica
↑ 82'
M
16
L. Curkovic
D
20
M. Petrovic
↑ 33' 🟨 90'
D
9
I. Bozic
F
24
L. Bosnjak
↑ 59' 🟨 61'
M
14
L. Ratshukudu
M
19
E. Qestaj
F
99
F. Kutlesa
D
Vukovar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
A. Djakovic
G
8
A. Bosec
↓ 79' 🟨 57'
D
14
M. Zivkovic
D
35
J. Gurlica
↓ 46'
M
20
K. Cabrajic
↓ 89'
D
77
E. Shabani
🎯 90'
M
13
V. Caic
D
27
S. Butic
↓ 68'
M
10
R. Gonzalez
⚽ 90' 🎯 10'
M
28
L. Banovec
🟨 41'
M
21
J. Puljic
⚽ 10'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Bulat
G
19
A. Jurilj
↑ 68' 🟨 72'
M
34
M. Tadic
↑ 89'
D
39
P. Bugas
F
33
L. Klanac
↑ 46' 🟨 64'
F
26
J. Elez
D
50
J. Spoljaric
↑ 79'
M
6
J. Biljan
M
7
K. Calhanoglu
D
5
N. Vlasenko
D
11
L. Kulusic
F
Last matches: NK Slaven Belupo
10.07.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
08.07.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Csikszereda
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Zalaegerszegi TE
2
3
L
22.05.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Osijek
0
2
L
17.05.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
10.05.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
04.05.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Istra 1961
1
3
L
21.04.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
17.04.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Hajduk Split
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
04.04.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
0
2
L
22.03.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Osijek
0
0
D
14.03.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb
2
4
L
07.03.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
2
2
D
27.02.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Istra 1961
1
0
W
20.02.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
2
2
D
13.02.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
07.02.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
31.01.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
24.01.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
Last matches: Vukovar
22.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
3
6
L
15.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
02.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
W
22.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
18.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
2
1
W
13.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
07.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
L
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
20.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
07.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
W
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Velež
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Primorje
3
0
W
H2H: NK Slaven Belupo vs Vukovar
25.04.26
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
2
2
D
20.02.26
H2H
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
13.01.26
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
2
2
D
21.11.25
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
4
1
W
30.08.25
H2H
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
1
2
W
24.09.22
H2H
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
3
W
Last matches: NK Slaven Belupo
10.07.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
08.07.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Csikszereda
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Zalaegerszegi TE
2
3
L
17.05.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
10.05.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Hajduk Split
2
2
D
04.04.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
0
2
L
22.03.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Osijek
0
0
D
27.02.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Istra 1961
1
0
W
13.02.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
31.01.26
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
16.01.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
4
L
13.01.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Aresimi
5
1
W
08.01.26
Fri
NK Slaven Belupo
Primorje
2
1
W
14.12.25
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb
2
5
L
05.12.25
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
21.11.25
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
4
1
W
02.11.25
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
18.10.25
HNL
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
H2H at home: NK Slaven Belupo
25.04.26
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
2
2
D
13.01.26
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
2
2
D
21.11.25
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
4
1
W
Last matches: Vukovar
22.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
3
6
L
08.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
18.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
2
1
W
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
21.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
06.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
21.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
1
4
L
07.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
01.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
1
1
D
26.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
14.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
4
L
08.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
01.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
1
L
H2H away: Vukovar
25.04.26
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
2
2
D
13.01.26
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
2
2
D
21.11.25
H2H
NK Slaven Belupo
Vukovar
4
1
L

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation