CROATIA › HNL
17.05.2026 14:00
Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas
Referee: Z. Lovric
NK Slaven Belupo
Match Timeline
Dinamo Zagreb
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Ismaël Bennacer
Dinamo Zagreb
⚽
27'
F. Kruselj · Assist: L. Ratshukudu
NK Slaven Belupo
⚽
50'
F. Topic
Dinamo Zagreb
⚽
58'
G. Vidovic · Assist: P. Tabinas
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
59'
I. Bennacer ↔ S. Sunta
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
59'
F. Topic ↔ C. Varela
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
69'
I. Cubelic ↔ I. Nestorovski
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
69'
M. Lisica ↔ J. Cordoba
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
69'
G. Vidovic ↔ J. Brundic
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
74'
K. Isasegi ↔ G. Sivalec
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
75'
V. Medjimorec ↔ M. Leskovic
NK Slaven Belupo
⚽
80'
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
81'
P. Tabinas ↔ M. Valincic
Dinamo Zagreb
⚽
85'
J. Cordoba
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
86'
Z. Katalinic ↔ L. Curkovic
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
87'
L. Ratshukudu ↔ F. Kutlesa
NK Slaven Belupo

NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NK Slaven Belupo Win 19.1%
Draw 0%
Dinamo Zagreb Win 81%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Slaven Belupo1.24
Dinamo Zagreb2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
WWDLW
45 GF / 55 GA
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
WLDWL
105 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
2.39
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
23
BTTS Yes
25
21
Over 2.5
32
3.79
Shots on Goal
5.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 matches
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 44 matches
NK Slaven Belupo Statistic Dinamo Zagreb
10 Wins 29
11 Draws 6
13 Losses 9
45 Goals For 105
55 Goals Against 49
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 2.39
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
23 BTTS Yes 25
29 Over 1.5 42
21 Over 2.5 32
12 Over 3.5 21
6 Clean Sheets 15
8 Failed To Score 5
3.79 Shots On Goal 5.82
12.12 Total Shots 15.43
3.68 Corners 6.14
47.6% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Dinamo Zagreb's more proactive style and NK Slaven Belupo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Dinamo Zagreb look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Slaven Belupo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Dinamo Zagreb in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Zagreb having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Dinamo Zagreb carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 82 points while NK Slaven Belupo sit 7 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

NK Slaven Belupo Analysis

NK Slaven Belupo are currently 7 in the standings with 41 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 45:55 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Josip Mitrović (8 goals), A. Jagusic (7 goals), I. Nestorovski (6 goals), with creative support from Ante Šuto (5 assists), L. Crepulja (5 assists), A. Jagusic (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dinamo Zagreb Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 82 points after 34 outings. They have recorded 26 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 89:27 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on D. Beljo (30 goals), M. Bakrar (10 goals), M. Zajc (8 goals), with creative support from L. Stojkovic (12 assists), M. Lisica (7 assists), M. Zajc (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Slaven Belupo won 1 times, Dinamo Zagreb won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:45 from NK Slaven Belupo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: NK Slaven Belupo 3-4-2-1 / Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
H2H summary: NK Slaven Belupo wins 1, draws 2, Dinamo Zagreb wins 12

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation