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CROATIA › HNL
24.10.2026 15:00
Opus Arena

NK Osijek vs Rudes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NK Osijek Win 77.2%
Draw 5.6%
Rudes Win 17.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Osijek2
Rudes1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Osijek NK Osijek
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
Rudes Rudes
WLDWL
22 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
2.53
11
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
12
5.7
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Osijek NK Osijek 20 matches
Rudes Rudes 15 matches
NK Osijek Statistic Rudes
10 Wins 4
4 Draws 2
6 Losses 9
33 Goals For 22
29 Goals Against 38
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 2.53
11 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 4
5.7 Shots On Goal 3
18.4 Total Shots 8.9
5.5 Corners 3.4
55.2% Ball Possession 40.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by NK Osijek's more proactive style and Rudes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. NK Osijek arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 16 points compared to Rudes in 9 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rudes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Osijek expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Rudes in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rudes having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rudes.

NK Osijek Analysis

NK Osijek arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 16 points after 9 matches. The record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 18:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. León (5 goals), Nail Omerović (5 goals), Jona Ježić (2 goals), with creative support from Domagoj Bukvić (2 assists), A. León (1 assists), L. Vrbancic (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Rudes Analysis

Rudes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 7 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 13:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Skoko (3 goals), Lenny Ilečić (1 goals), Xavi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Poldrugač (3 assists), Lenny Ilečić (2 assists), V. Celjak (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, NK Osijek won 11 times, Rudes won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:12 from NK Osijek's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: NK Osijek 4-2-3-1 / Rudes 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: NK Osijek wins 11, draws 2, Rudes wins 1

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 1 2 18:9 9 19
W L W W W
2 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
W D D D W
3 9 5 2 2 16:12 4 17
W L W D W
4 8 5 1 2 18:11 7 16
L W L W D
5 9 5 1 3 18:14 4 16
L D W L W
6 9 3 3 3 17:14 3 12
W L W D D
7 9 3 1 5 11:17 -6 10
W D L W L
8 9 2 1 6 11:17 -6 7
L L D L L
9
Rudes Away
10 2 1 7 13:27 -14 7
L W D L L
10 9 1 2 6 6:14 -8 5
L W D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL