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CROATIA › HNL
11.10.2026 13:00
Stadion Maksimir
Referee: Patrik Pavlesic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Match Timeline
NK Varazdin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Marko Vešović
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
⚽
40'
luka mamic · Assist: Petar Bočkaj
NK Varazdin
🔄
45'
matija subotic ↔ Feta Fetai
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
45'
Marko Vešović ↔ Dušan Vuković
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
45'
jakov vasilj ↔ Ivan katic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
55'
Ivan Posavec ↔ Sven Lesjak
NK Varazdin
🟨
67'
Kristijan Čabrajić
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
71'
Petar Bočkaj ↔ Tomislav Duvnjak
NK Varazdin
🔄
71'
Kristijan Čabrajić ↔ Kayke Rodrigo Souza de Abreu
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
74'
dominik thaqi
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
75'
Fran Karačić
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
78'
Mario Marina ↔ David Puclin
NK Varazdin
🔄
80'
dominik thaqi ↔ Noel Durkovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
82'
Ivan Canjuga
NK Varazdin
🟨
85'
Dušan Vuković
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds 3.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.82
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
3.30 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.82 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.9%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 59.1%
Draw 4.6%
NK Varazdin Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.47
NK Varazdin1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
WWDLW
34 GF / 27 GA
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
WLDWL
45 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
2.88
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 19 matches
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 24 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Statistic NK Varazdin
9 Wins 14
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 4
34 Goals For 45
27 Goals Against 24
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 6
2.88 Shots On Goal 3.3
10 Total Shots 11.3
4.25 Corners 3.7
42% Ball Possession 38.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by NK Varazdin's more proactive style and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward NK Varazdin. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. NK Varazdin carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 15 points while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 7 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Analysis

With 7 points from 8 games and a place of 7, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:16, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Dušan Vuković (3 goals), Athanasios Triantafyllou (1 goals), Mirko Marić (1 goals), with creative support from Dušan Vuković (2 assists), Marko Pajač (2 assists), Athanasios Triantafyllou (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

NK Varazdin Analysis

Placed 4 with 15 points from 8 outings, NK Varazdin continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 13:7 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Ivan Canjuga (2 goals), Ivan Mamut (2 goals), Mario Mladenovski (2 goals), with creative support from Ivan Canjuga (2 assists), Gregor Sikošek (2 assists), Ivan Mamut (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 5 times, NK Varazdin won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1 / NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 5, draws 7, NK Varazdin wins 3

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 1 2 18:9 9 19
W L W W W
2 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
W D D D W
3 8 5 1 2 18:11 7 16
L W L W D
4 9 5 1 3 18:14 4 16
L D W L W
5 8 4 2 2 14:11 3 14
L W D W D
6 9 3 3 3 17:14 3 12
W L W D D
7 9 3 1 5 11:17 -6 10
W D L W L
8 9 2 1 6 11:17 -6 7
L L D L L
9 9 2 1 6 12:25 -13 7
W D L L L
10 9 1 2 6 6:14 -8 5
L W D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL