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17.10.2026 13:00
Stadion Maksimir
Referee: Antonio Melnjak, Croatia
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Match Timeline
Istra 1961
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
F. Karacic · Assist: L. Belcar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
⚽
46'
L. Kulusic · Assist: F. Karacic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
52'
Niko Šepić
Istra 1961
🔄
61'
D. Ahmeti ↔ H. Jaganjac
Istra 1961
🔄
61'
N. Sepic ↔ D. Celija
Istra 1961
🔄
69'
D. Hodzic ↔ M. Kablar
Istra 1961
🔄
69'
N. Skafar Zuzic ↔ S. Gorican
Istra 1961
🔄
73'
I. Katic ↔ M. Mitrovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
73'
D. Vukovic ↔ M. Maric
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
73'
L. Belcar ↔ D. Thaqi
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
77'
J. Gurlica ↔ M. Cabraja
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
88'
Isaac ↔ V. Rozic
Istra 1961
🔄
90+1'
F. Fetai ↔ E. Atabaev
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 61%
Draw 10.5%
Istra 1961 Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.6
Istra 19611.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
L L D L L
4 GF / 9 GA
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
W L W D D
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
2.39
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
15
2.89
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 20 matches
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 18 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Statistic Istra 1961
9 Wins 8
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 3
34 Goals For 43
28 Goals Against 26
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.39
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
14 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
2.89 Shots On Goal 5.11
10.11 Total Shots 13.44
4.44 Corners 4.33
43.8% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Istra 1961's more proactive style and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Istra 1961. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Analysis

With 7 points from 8 games and a place of 7, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 11:16 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Dušan Vuković (3 goals), Athanasios Triantafyllou (1 goals), Mirko Marić (1 goals), with creative support from Dušan Vuković (2 assists), Marko Pajač (2 assists), Athanasios Triantafyllou (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Istra 1961 Analysis

So far, Istra 1961 have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 9 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 14:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emil Frederiksen (7 goals), Dukan Ahmeti (1 goals), H. Jaganjac (1 goals), with creative support from Dukan Ahmeti (2 assists), Nik Škafar Žužić (2 assists), H. Jaganjac (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 6 times, Istra 1961 won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1 / Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 6, draws 5, Istra 1961 wins 4

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 26:11 15 26
W D W W L
2 11 7 1 3 25:14 11 22
L W W L W
3 12 6 2 4 22:17 5 20
W L D L D
4 12 5 4 3 16:11 5 19
D L L W D
5 11 5 3 3 18:15 3 18
D L W L W
6 12 4 4 4 21:18 3 16
W D L W L
7 12 4 1 7 14:25 -11 13
L W L W D
8 12 4 1 7 15:27 -12 13
W W L W D
9 12 3 2 7 14:20 -6 11
L D W L L
10 12 1 4 7 7:20 -13 7
L D D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL