CROATIA HNL
12.09.2026 18:00
Stadion Maksimir

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.5%
Odds 5.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.5%
5.83
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.85
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
10.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
19.00
Probability Distribution
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 62.5%
Draw 10.6%
HNK Rijeka Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.49
HNK Rijeka1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
WWDLW
31 GF / 23 GA
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WLDWL
24 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
7
2.5
Shots on Goal
5.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17 matches
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 16 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Statistic HNK Rijeka
9 Wins 10
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
31 Goals For 24
23 Goals Against 16
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1
12 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 3
2.5 Shots On Goal 5.55
9.83 Total Shots 10.09
4.67 Corners 5.09
43.2% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1 times, HNK Rijeka won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:31 from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1 / HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 1, draws 4, HNK Rijeka wins 10

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 15:5 10 13
W W W W D
2 5 4 1 0 12:3 9 13
W D W W W
3 6 4 1 1 11:5 6 13
D W L W W
4 6 4 0 2 13:9 4 12
L W L W W
5 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
W D W L W
6 6 1 3 2 11:10 1 6
D D L W D
7 6 2 0 4 8:12 -4 6
L L L L W
8 6 2 0 4 5:13 -8 6
W L W L L
9 6 1 0 5 6:19 -13 3
L L W L L
10 6 0 1 5 2:10 -8 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL