CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Maksimir
Referee: A. Terzic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Match Timeline
HNK Rijeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
D. Adu Adjei · Assist: M. Devetak
HNK Rijeka
🔄
46'
M. Subotic ↔ M. Lorber
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
51'
Marko Vešović
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
52'
Marko Pajač
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
54'
D. Adu Adjei · Assist: A. Gojak
HNK Rijeka
🔄
61'
D. Vukovic ↔ I. Sabra
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
79'
D. Adu Adjei ↔ D. Cop
HNK Rijeka
🔄
79'
A. Orec ↔ M. Ndockyt
HNK Rijeka
🔄
79'
T. Dantas ↔ T. Fruk
HNK Rijeka
81'
M. Ndockyt · Assist: A. Gojak
HNK Rijeka
🔄
82'
L. Belcar ↔ P. Smiljanic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
82'
A. Gojak ↔ D. Legbo
HNK Rijeka
🔄
83'
L. Dajcer ↔ T. Kralevski
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
89'
Blaž Bošković
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
89'
M. Vesovic ↔ P. Kostelac
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
90+3'
M. Devetak ↔ N. Bodetic
HNK Rijeka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 58.7%
Draw 7.6%
HNK Rijeka Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.15
HNK Rijeka1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
WWDLW
38 GF / 47 GA
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WLDWL
58 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
21
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
20
3.44
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 32 matches
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 48 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Statistic HNK Rijeka
10 Wins 17
11 Draws 15
11 Losses 16
38 Goals For 58
47 Goals Against 53
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
21 BTTS Yes 21
29 Over 1.5 31
14 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 17
6 Failed To Score 17
3.44 Shots On Goal 3.71
10.53 Total Shots 12.23
4.59 Corners 5.04
50.5% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with HNK Rijeka's more proactive style and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward HNK Rijeka. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 41 points from 32 games, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, with a 38:47 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Stojakovic (9 goals), Marko Pajač (6 goals), Blaž Bošković (3 goals), with creative support from Marko Pajač (5 assists), M. Vesovic (4 assists), A. Stojakovic (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

HNK Rijeka Analysis

HNK Rijeka come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 43 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 41:36 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Fruk (11 goals), Tiago Dantas (7 goals), Ante Matej Jurić (4 goals), with creative support from Tiago Dantas (6 assists), A. Orec (4 assists), T. Fruk (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1 times, HNK Rijeka won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:31 from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1 / HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 1, draws 4, HNK Rijeka wins 10
Stats
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 1
17 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 2
3 Shots insidebox 7
0 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
324 Total passes 377
260 Passes accurate 314
0.46 expected_goals 2.06
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Formation
HNK Rijeka
J. Posavec
J. Posavec
M. Vesovic
M. Vesovic
D. Kolinger
D. Kolinger
L. Dajcer
L. Dajcer
M. Pajac
M. Pajac
M. Subotic
M. Subotic
B. Boskovic
B. Boskovic
J. Vasilj
J. Vasilj
L. Belcar
L. Belcar
D. Vukovic
D. Vukovic
A. Stojakovic
A. Stojakovic
M. Zlomislic
M. Zlomislic
A. Majstorovic
A. Majstorovic
S. Radeljic
S. Radeljic
M. Devetak
🎯
M. Devetak
A. Orec
A. Orec
B. Pavic
B. Pavic
A. Barco
A. Barco
J. Lasickas
J. Lasickas
T. Dantas
T. Dantas
A. Gojak
🎯
A. Gojak
D. Adu Adjei
⚽ 2
D. Adu Adjei
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
J. Posavec
G
23
M. Vesovic
↓ 89' 🟨 51'
D
20
D. Kolinger
D
16
L. Dajcer
↓ 83'
D
17
M. Pajac
🟨 52'
D
10
M. Subotic
↓ 46'
M
6
B. Boskovic
🟨 89'
M
29
J. Vasilj
M
28
L. Belcar
↓ 82'
M
30
D. Vukovic
↓ 61'
M
15
A. Stojakovic
F
Substitutes
32
L. Savatovic
G
33
D. Kamenovic
D
25
P. Smiljanic
↑ 82'
M
2
T. Kralevski
↑ 83'
D
18
M. Situm
D
14
M. Lorber
↑ 46'
M
3
P. Kostelac
↑ 89'
M
9
I. Sabra
↑ 61'
F
HNK Rijeka 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
13
M. Zlomislic
G
45
A. Majstorovic
D
6
S. Radeljic
D
34
M. Devetak
🎯 14' ↓ 90+3'
M
22
A. Orec
↓ 79'
M
66
B. Pavic
55
A. Barco
D
23
J. Lasickas
M
26
T. Dantas
↓ 79'
M
14
A. Gojak
🎯 54' 🎯 81' ↓ 82'
M
18
D. Adu Adjei
⚽ 14' ⚽ 54' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
99
A. Todorovic
G
24
D. Legbo
↑ 82'
F
9
D. Cop
↑ 79'
F
8
D. Petrovic
M
20
M. Ndockyt
⚽ 81' ↑ 79'
M
10
T. Fruk
↑ 79'
M
11
G. Rukavina
F
77
A. Juric
F
91
N. Bodetic
↑ 90+3'
D
2
L. Kitin
D
Last matches: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
23.05.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
16.05.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
09.05.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
25.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
0
0
D
21.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
11.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
2
0
W
07.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Vukovar
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
5
L
15.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
07.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
01.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
2
L
21.02.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
3
1
W
13.02.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
0
2
L
06.02.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
3
0
W
30.01.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
1
1
D
24.01.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Vukovar
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
2
W
14.01.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Velež
1
2
L
11.01.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Odra Opole
1
0
W
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
08.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
W
26.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
18.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
2
L
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
3
1
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
14.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
08.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
H2H: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka
03.05.26
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
01.03.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
L
30.11.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
26.01.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
1
L
18.10.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
04.08.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
0
L
28.04.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
3
1
W
03.04.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
17.02.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
0
L
03.11.23
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
L
27.04.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
L
18.02.23
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
2
L
Last matches: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
16.05.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
21.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
11.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
2
0
W
21.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
5
L
07.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
21.02.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
3
1
W
06.02.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
3
0
W
24.01.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Vukovar
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Velež
1
2
L
11.01.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Odra Opole
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
SV Kapfenberg
1
1
D
13.12.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
30.11.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
08.11.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
1
1
D
25.10.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
1
2
L
05.10.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
W
20.09.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1
0
W
31.08.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
1
1
D
16.08.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
1
3
L
01.08.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Vukovar
1
0
W
H2H at home: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
03.05.26
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
30.11.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
18.10.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
3
1
W
03.04.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
03.11.23
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
18.02.23
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
2
L
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
18.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
20.01.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
2
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
30.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
09.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
06.11.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1
1
D
01.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
18.10.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
1
1
D
05.10.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
FC Noah
0
1
L
22.09.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
2
3
L
H2H away: HNK Rijeka
03.05.26
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
3
W
30.11.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
1
W
18.10.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
3
1
L
03.04.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
1
W
03.11.23
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
18.02.23
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
2
W

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation