CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Maksimir
Referee: A. Skobic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Match Timeline
HNK Hajduk Split
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
I. Almena
HNK Hajduk Split
18'
J. Vasilj · Assist: I. Sabra
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
VAR
30'
Marko Livaja
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
40'
Marko Livaja
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
46'
R. Raci ↔ R. Gabric
HNK Hajduk Split
VAR
59'
Rokas Pukštas
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
62'
P. Smiljanic ↔ B. Boskovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
65'
A. Rebic ↔ R. Brajkovic
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
65'
R. Pukstas ↔ A. Sanyang
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
66'
M. Livaja ↔ M. Sego
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
73'
D. Vukovic ↔ A. Stojakovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
73'
J. Vasilj ↔ M. Susak
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
86'
I. Sabra ↔ T. Kralevski
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
88'
S. Hrgovic ↔ D. Melnjak
HNK Hajduk Split

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 26.2%
Draw 11.2%
HNK Hajduk Split Win 62.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.09
HNK Hajduk Split1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
WWDLW
39 GF / 51 GA
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
WLDWL
60 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
22
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
18
3.29
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 matches
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 38 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Statistic HNK Hajduk Split
10 Wins 21
12 Draws 8
12 Losses 9
39 Goals For 60
51 Goals Against 38
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
22 BTTS Yes 18
31 Over 1.5 31
15 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 14
7 Failed To Score 8
3.29 Shots On Goal 4.82
10.09 Total Shots 12.84
4.5 Corners 4.63
50.6% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by HNK Hajduk Split's more proactive style and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring HNK Hajduk Split. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. HNK Hajduk Split carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 64 points while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 6 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Analysis

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 6 with 42 points after 34 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses, while the 39:51 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Stojakovic (9 goals), Marko Pajač (6 goals), Blaž Bošković (3 goals), with creative support from Marko Pajač (5 assists), M. Vesovic (4 assists), A. Stojakovic (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

HNK Hajduk Split Analysis

HNK Hajduk Split come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 64 points from 34 matches. The record of 19 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 54:32 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Sego (11 goals), Marko Livaja (9 goals), Rokas Pukštas (9 goals), with creative support from Marko Livaja (6 assists), A. Rebic (5 assists), M. Sego (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 3 times, HNK Hajduk Split won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:30 from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1 / HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 3, draws 4, HNK Hajduk Split wins 8

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation