Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
84.3%
|
- |
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nizhny Novgorod
26 matches
Spartak Moscow
26 matches
| Nizhny Novgorod | Statistic | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 16 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 42 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.85 | Shots On Goal | 4.31 |
| 11.04 | Total Shots | 13.77 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 5.27 |
| 43.2% | Ball Possession | 60.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Spartak Moscow's more proactive style and Nizhny Novgorod's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Nizhny Novgorod have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Spartak Moscow. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nizhny Novgorod expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Spartak Moscow in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spartak Moscow having the stronger overall control. Spartak Moscow carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 45 points while Nizhny Novgorod sit 15 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 22 points from 26 games and a place of 15, Nizhny Novgorod still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 20:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juan Manuel Boselli (8 goals), O. Olusegun (5 goals), A. Balboa (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Boselli (2 assists), Egor Smelov (2 assists), O. Olusegun (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Ektov unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
So far, Spartak Moscow have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 45 points from 26 matches. The record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 38:32 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Barco (7 goals), Pablo Solari (7 goals), G. Fernandes (5 goals), with creative support from E. Barco (6 assists), Marquinhos (6 assists), I. Dmitriev (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Babic, V. Saus unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nizhny Novgorod won 1 times, Spartak Moscow won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:30 from Nizhny Novgorod's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Nizhny Novgorod
2
6
2
2
1
3
Lineups
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
Tekstilshchik
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Spartak Moscow
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
Akron
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
Nizhny Novgorod
Tekstilshchik
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
Nizhny Novgorod
Zenit
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
Nizhny Novgorod
Akron
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
Baltika
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Akron
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Spartak Moscow
Away
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Nizhny Novgorod
Home
|
30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|