RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Sovcombank Arena
Referee: I. Kaplenkov
Nizhny Novgorod
Match Timeline
Spartak Moscow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Vadim Lukyanov
Nizhny Novgorod
28'
A. Balboa · Assist: R. Cephas
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
38'
Egor Smelov
Nizhny Novgorod
45'
E. Barco
Spartak Moscow
🔄
62'
A. Balboa ↔ O. Olusegun
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
65'
C. Martins ↔ I. Dmitriev
Spartak Moscow
72'
R. Zobnin · Assist: E. Barco
Spartak Moscow
🔄
78'
R. Cephas ↔ M. Urvantsev
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
78'
L. Ticic ↔ A. Ivlev
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
80'
M. Ugalde ↔ L. Garcia
Spartak Moscow
🔄
80'
G. Fernandes ↔ D. Denisov
Spartak Moscow
🟨
88'
Ruslan Litvinov
Spartak Moscow
🔄
89'
E. Smelov ↔ V. Grulev
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
90+1'
Daniil Denisov
Spartak Moscow

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
84.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Nizhny Novgorod Win 37.2%
Draw 0%
Spartak Moscow Win 62.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nizhny Novgorod1.05
Spartak Moscow1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
WWDLW
22 GF / 42 GA
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WLDWL
42 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
10
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
15
3.85
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 26 matches
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 26 matches
Nizhny Novgorod Statistic Spartak Moscow
6 Wins 13
4 Draws 6
16 Losses 7
22 Goals For 42
42 Goals Against 35
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
10 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 6
13 Failed To Score 3
3.85 Shots On Goal 4.31
11.04 Total Shots 13.77
4.42 Corners 5.27
43.2% Ball Possession 60.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Spartak Moscow's more proactive style and Nizhny Novgorod's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Nizhny Novgorod have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Spartak Moscow. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nizhny Novgorod expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Spartak Moscow in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spartak Moscow having the stronger overall control. Spartak Moscow carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 45 points while Nizhny Novgorod sit 15 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Nizhny Novgorod Analysis

With 22 points from 26 games and a place of 15, Nizhny Novgorod still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 20:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juan Manuel Boselli (8 goals), O. Olusegun (5 goals), A. Balboa (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Boselli (2 assists), Egor Smelov (2 assists), O. Olusegun (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Ektov unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Spartak Moscow Analysis

So far, Spartak Moscow have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 45 points from 26 matches. The record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 38:32 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Barco (7 goals), Pablo Solari (7 goals), G. Fernandes (5 goals), with creative support from E. Barco (6 assists), Marquinhos (6 assists), I. Dmitriev (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Babic, V. Saus unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nizhny Novgorod won 1 times, Spartak Moscow won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:30 from Nizhny Novgorod's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Nizhny Novgorod 4-3-3 / Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Nizhny Novgorod 1, Spartak Moscow 2
H2H summary: Nizhny Novgorod wins 1, draws 3, Spartak Moscow wins 10
Stats
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 7
13 Fouls 20
1 Offsides 0
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
261 Total passes 491
188 Passes accurate 420
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nizhny Novgorod
Formation
Spartak Moscow
N. Medvedev
N. Medvedev
M. Shnaptsev
M. Shnaptsev
V. Aleksandrov
V. Aleksandrov
I. Kirsch
I. Kirsch
Y. Koledin
Y. Koledin
L. Ticic
L. Ticic
N. Kalinski
N. Kalinski
S. Karic
S. Karic
A. Balboa
A. Balboa
E. Smelov
E. Smelov
R. Cephas
🎯
R. Cephas
A. Maksimenko
A. Maksimenko
G. Fernandes
G. Fernandes
C. Wooh
C. Wooh
A. Djiku
A. Djiku
R. Zobnin
R. Zobnin
N. Umyarov
N. Umyarov
R. Litvinov
R. Litvinov
C. Martins
C. Martins
E. Barco
🎯
E. Barco
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
M. Ugalde
M. Ugalde
Nizhny Novgorod 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
N. Medvedev
G
70
M. Shnaptsev
D
2
V. Aleksandrov
D
4
I. Kirsch
D
3
Y. Koledin
D
29
L. Ticic
↓ 78'
M
78
N. Kalinski
M
25
S. Karic
M
10
A. Balboa
⚽ 28' ↓ 62'
F
17
E. Smelov
↓ 89' 🟨 38'
F
21
R. Cephas
🎯 28' ↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Lukyanov
🟨 -5'
G
40
O. Olusegun
↑ 62'
F
19
N. Ermakov
M
8
M. Maiga
M
14
M. Urvantsev
↑ 78'
F
77
A. Ivlev
↑ 78'
M
88
D. Lesovoy
F
27
V. Grulev
↑ 89'
F
32
V. Pigas
D
23
J. Castillo
D
16
Y. Krashevskiy
D
69
A. Sidorenko
M
Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
98
A. Maksimenko
G
83
G. Fernandes
↓ 80'
D
3
C. Wooh
D
4
A. Djiku
D
47
R. Zobnin
⚽ 72'
D
18
N. Umyarov
M
68
R. Litvinov
🟨 88'
M
35
C. Martins
↓ 65'
M
5
E. Barco
⚽ 45' 🎯 72'
M
10
Marquinhos
M
9
M. Ugalde
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
56
A. Dovbnya
G
1
I. Pomazun
G
28
D. Zorin
M
27
I. Dmitriev
↑ 65'
M
11
L. Garcia
↑ 80'
F
2
O. Reabciuk
D
14
I. Samoshnikov
D
97
D. Denisov
↑ 80' 🟨 90+1'
D
17
V. Saus
M
24
N. Massalyga
M
Last matches: Nizhny Novgorod
04.07.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
2
L
29.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Tekstilshchik
6
1
W
21.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
1
W
16.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
0
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
15.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
2
4
L
17.01.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
07.12.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
25.07.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rodina Moskva
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
02.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
3
2
W
23.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
5
2
W
10.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
H2H: Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moscow
26.04.26
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
01.10.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
28.09.25
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
L
26.08.25
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
4
0
L
07.12.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
L
27.10.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
05.05.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
0
D
22.10.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
L
19.09.23
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
3
L
08.08.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
5
4
L
28.05.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
0
0
D
02.10.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
19.03.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
07.08.21
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
W
Last matches: Nizhny Novgorod
29.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Tekstilshchik
6
1
W
21.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
1
W
16.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
23.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Zenit
0
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
0
0
D
18.10.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akron
0
1
L
20.09.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
18.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
2
3
L
20.07.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
H2H at home: Nizhny Novgorod
26.04.26
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
01.10.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
27.10.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
05.05.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
0
D
19.09.23
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
3
L
02.10.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
19.03.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
0
2
L
02.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
3
2
W
29.11.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Baltika
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
2
1
W
02.11.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
05.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
2
3
L
13.09.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
2
2
D
23.08.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
0
W
09.08.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
4
L
03.08.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
1
1
D
H2H away: Spartak Moscow
26.04.26
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
W
01.10.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
W
27.10.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
2
W
05.05.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
0
D
19.09.23
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
0
3
W
02.10.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
W
19.03.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Nizhny Novgorod 1 missing
-
A. Ektov
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Spartak Moscow 2 missing
-
S. Babic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
V. Saus
Questionable Inactive
OUT