RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Sovcombank Arena
Referee: A. Prokopov
Nizhny Novgorod
Match Timeline
Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
N. Marichal · Assist: Bitello
Dynamo
34'
O. Olusegun · Assist: R. Cephas
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
40'
Adrian Balboa
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
46'
M. Urvantsev ↔ A. Ivlev
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
52'
Andrey Ivlev
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
55'
Olakunle Olusegun
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
64'
Rubens ↔ T. Marinkin
Dynamo
🔄
65'
A. Balboa ↔ D. Lesovoy
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
65'
A. Miranchuk ↔ N. Moumi Ngamaleu
Dynamo
🔄
65'
Arthur Gomes ↔ U. Babaev
Dynamo
🟨
74'
Olakunle Olusegun
Nizhny Novgorod
🟥
74'
Olakunle Olusegun
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
78'
D. Fomin ↔ I. Sergeev
Dynamo
🔄
80'
R. Cephas ↔ N. Ermakov
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
80'
L. Ticic ↔ V. Pigas
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
90'
Sven Karič
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
90+6'
Ulvi Babaev
Dynamo
🔄
90+2'
E. Smelov ↔ M. Maiga
Nizhny Novgorod

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Nizhny Novgorod Win 31.6%
Draw 11.7%
Dynamo Win 56.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nizhny Novgorod1.08
Dynamo1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
WWDLW
20 GF / 39 GA
Dynamo Dynamo
WLDWL
43 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
8
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
16
4.08
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 24 matches
Dynamo Dynamo 24 matches
Nizhny Novgorod Statistic Dynamo
6 Wins 9
3 Draws 7
15 Losses 8
20 Goals For 43
39 Goals Against 35
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
8 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 6
13 Failed To Score 3
4.08 Shots On Goal 4.71
11.5 Total Shots 15.71
4.54 Corners 5.25
43.8% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Dynamo's more proactive style and Nizhny Novgorod's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dynamo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nizhny Novgorod expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dynamo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dynamo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Nizhny Novgorod Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 21 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 20:39 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Juan Manuel Boselli (7 goals), O. Olusegun (4 goals), Daniil Lesovoy (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Boselli (2 assists), Egor Smelov (2 assists), O. Olusegun (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Ektov, M. Shnaptsev unavailable.

Dynamo Analysis

Dynamo sit 7 with 34 points after 24 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 40:33 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Sergeev (8 goals), Bitello (7 goals), K. Tyukavin (6 goals), with creative support from Bitello (5 assists), J. Caceres (5 assists), K. Tyukavin (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with B. Zaynutdinov, D. Aleksandrov unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nizhny Novgorod won 0 times, Dynamo won 9 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:28 from Nizhny Novgorod's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Nizhny Novgorod 4-3-3 / Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Nizhny Novgorod 2, Dynamo 2
H2H summary: Nizhny Novgorod wins 0, draws 6, Dynamo wins 9
Stats
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo Dynamo
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 12
15 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 1
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 11
3 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 13
1 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
226 Total passes 560
142 Passes accurate 461
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nizhny Novgorod
Formation
Dynamo
N. Medvedev
N. Medvedev
V. Aleksandrov
V. Aleksandrov
I. Kirsch
I. Kirsch
S. Karic
S. Karic
O. Olusegun
O. Olusegun
L. Ticic
L. Ticic
E. Smelov
E. Smelov
Y. Koledin
Y. Koledin
M. Urvantsev
M. Urvantsev
A. Balboa
A. Balboa
R. Cephas
🎯
R. Cephas
I. Leshchuk
I. Leshchuk
J. Caceres
J. Caceres
N. Marichal
N. Marichal
M. Osipenko
M. Osipenko
D. Skopintsev
D. Skopintsev
Rubens
Rubens
D. Fomin
D. Fomin
Arthur Gomes
Arthur Gomes
A. Miranchuk
A. Miranchuk
Bitello
🎯
Bitello
K. Tyukavin
K. Tyukavin
Nizhny Novgorod 3-4-3
Starting XI
30
N. Medvedev
G
2
V. Aleksandrov
D
4
I. Kirsch
D
25
S. Karic
🟨 90'
D
40
O. Olusegun
⚽ 34' 🟨 55' 🟨 74' 🟥 74'
M
29
L. Ticic
↓ 80'
M
17
E. Smelov
↓ 90+2'
M
3
Y. Koledin
M
14
M. Urvantsev
↓ 46'
F
10
A. Balboa
↓ 65' 🟨 40'
F
21
R. Cephas
🎯 34' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Lukyanov
G
51
E. Koshkin
G
78
N. Kalinski
M
19
N. Ermakov
↑ 80'
M
8
M. Maiga
↑ 90+2'
M
77
A. Ivlev
↑ 46' 🟨 52'
M
88
D. Lesovoy
↑ 65'
F
27
V. Grulev
F
32
V. Pigas
↑ 80'
D
16
Y. Krashevskiy
D
69
A. Sidorenko
M
Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
I. Leshchuk
G
4
J. Caceres
D
2
N. Marichal
⚽ 22'
D
55
M. Osipenko
D
7
D. Skopintsev
D
44
Rubens
↓ 64'
M
74
D. Fomin
↓ 78'
M
11
Arthur Gomes
↓ 65'
M
21
A. Miranchuk
↓ 65'
M
10
Bitello
🎯 22'
M
70
K. Tyukavin
F
Substitutes
47
A. Kudravets
G
40
K. Rasulov
G
13
N. Moumi Ngamaleu
↑ 65'
F
24
L. Chavez
M
33
I. Sergeev
↑ 78'
F
91
Y. Gladyshev
F
17
U. Babaev
↑ 65' 🟨 90+6'
F
57
David Ricardo
D
56
L. Zaydenzal
D
60
T. Marinkin
↑ 64'
M
15
D. Glebov
M
5
M. Majstorovic
D
Last matches: Nizhny Novgorod
04.07.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
2
L
29.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Tekstilshchik
6
1
W
21.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
1
W
16.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
15.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
2
4
L
17.01.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
07.12.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
Last matches: Dynamo
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
5
2
W
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Akron
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Dinamo Moskva II
10
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Dynamo
Torpedo Moskva
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
Baltika
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Sochi
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Rubin
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Akron
3
2
W
04.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
Zenit
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Rostov
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
4
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
4
0
W
16.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
Ural
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
H2H: Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo
04.07.26
H2H
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
L
18.04.26
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
3
1
L
08.09.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Moscow
1
4
L
02.11.23
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
L
15.09.23
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
1
1
D
25.07.23
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Moscow
1
1
D
14.07.23
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
L
15.04.23
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
3
1
L
27.08.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Moscow
2
2
D
09.04.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Moscow
0
1
L
01.03.22
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
L
Last matches: Nizhny Novgorod
29.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Tekstilshchik
6
1
W
21.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
1
W
16.06.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
23.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Zenit
0
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
0
0
D
18.10.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akron
0
1
L
20.09.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
18.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
2
3
L
20.07.25
Pre
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
H2H at home: Nizhny Novgorod
18.04.26
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Moscow
1
4
L
25.07.23
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Moscow
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Moscow
2
2
D
09.04.22
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Moscow
0
1
L
Last matches: Dynamo
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Akron
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
Baltika
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Akron
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Rostov
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
4
1
W
16.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
Ural
1
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
Zenit
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Dynamo
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pre
Dynamo
Akhmat
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Dynamo
Rubin
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pre
Dynamo
Zenit
1
2
L
26.09.25
Pre
Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
21.09.25
Pre
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
31.08.25
Pre
Dynamo
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pre
Dynamo
FC Sochi
1
1
D
02.08.25
Pre
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
H2H away: Dynamo
18.04.26
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Nizhny Novgorod 2 missing
-
A. Ektov
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Shnaptsev
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
Dynamo 2 missing
-
B. Zaynutdinov
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
D. Aleksandrov
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT