RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
18.04.2026 16:30
Sovcombank Arena
Referee: A. Prokopov
Nizhny Novgorod
Match Timeline
Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
N. Marichal · Assist: Bitello
Dynamo
34'
O. Olusegun · Assist: R. Cephas
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
40'
Adrian Balboa
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
46'
M. Urvantsev ↔ A. Ivlev
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
52'
Andrey Ivlev
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
55'
Olakunle Olusegun
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
64'
Rubens ↔ T. Marinkin
Dynamo
🔄
65'
A. Balboa ↔ D. Lesovoy
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
65'
A. Miranchuk ↔ N. Moumi Ngamaleu
Dynamo
🔄
65'
Arthur Gomes ↔ U. Babaev
Dynamo
🟨
74'
Olakunle Olusegun
Nizhny Novgorod
🟥
74'
Olakunle Olusegun
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
78'
D. Fomin ↔ I. Sergeev
Dynamo
🔄
80'
R. Cephas ↔ N. Ermakov
Nizhny Novgorod
🔄
80'
L. Ticic ↔ V. Pigas
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
90'
Sven Karič
Nizhny Novgorod
🟨
90+6'
Ulvi Babaev
Dynamo
🔄
90+2'
E. Smelov ↔ M. Maiga
Nizhny Novgorod

Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Nizhny Novgorod Win 31.6%
Draw 11.7%
Dynamo Win 56.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nizhny Novgorod1.08
Dynamo1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
WWDLW
20 GF / 39 GA
Dynamo Dynamo
WLDWL
43 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
8
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
16
4.08
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 24 matches
Dynamo Dynamo 24 matches
Nizhny Novgorod Statistic Dynamo
6 Wins 9
3 Draws 7
15 Losses 8
20 Goals For 43
39 Goals Against 35
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
8 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 6
13 Failed To Score 3
4.08 Shots On Goal 4.71
11.5 Total Shots 15.71
4.54 Corners 5.25
43.8% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Dynamo's more proactive style and Nizhny Novgorod's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dynamo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nizhny Novgorod expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dynamo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dynamo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Nizhny Novgorod Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 21 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 20:39 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Juan Manuel Boselli (7 goals), O. Olusegun (4 goals), Daniil Lesovoy (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Boselli (2 assists), Egor Smelov (2 assists), O. Olusegun (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Ektov, M. Shnaptsev unavailable.

Dynamo Analysis

Dynamo sit 7 with 34 points after 24 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 40:33 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Sergeev (8 goals), Bitello (7 goals), K. Tyukavin (6 goals), with creative support from Bitello (5 assists), J. Caceres (5 assists), K. Tyukavin (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with B. Zaynutdinov, D. Aleksandrov unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nizhny Novgorod won 0 times, Dynamo won 9 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:28 from Nizhny Novgorod's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Nizhny Novgorod 4-3-3 / Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Nizhny Novgorod 2, Dynamo 2
H2H summary: Nizhny Novgorod wins 0, draws 6, Dynamo wins 9

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation