BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
City Stadium
Niva
Match Timeline
Ostrovets FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Niva
Niva
🟨
45+1'
Niva
Niva
🔄
46'
I. Monich ↔ V. Dybin
Niva
🟥
47'
V. Shcherbo
Niva
🔄
48'
P. Pampukha ↔ M. Druchik
Niva
🟨
57'
A. Kilyimanov
Ostrovets FC
58'
D. Fedortsov
Niva
🔄
63'
G. Krivtsov ↔ D. Prudnik
Ostrovets FC
🔄
63'
M. Boychenko ↔ M. Kalinovskiy
Ostrovets FC
🔄
63'
R. Medvedev ↔ G. Skripnik
Ostrovets FC
🟨
66'
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
🟨
67'
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
🔄
71'
E. Mikhey ↔ A. Fedosenko
Ostrovets FC
🔄
71'
K. Goncharik ↔ D. Tsyk
Ostrovets FC
🔄
80'
A. Kuratnik ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🔄
80'
D. Galuza ↔ V. Bondarenko
Niva
🟨
83'
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
🟨
89'
Niva
Niva
90'
V. Bondarenko
Niva

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Niva Win 79.3%
Draw 3.8%
Ostrovets FC Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Niva1.83
Ostrovets FC1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Niva Niva
WWDLW
38 GF / 27 GA
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
WLDWL
18 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
12
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Niva Niva 18 matches
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 15 matches
Niva Statistic Ostrovets FC
9 Wins 2
4 Draws 9
5 Losses 4
38 Goals For 18
27 Goals Against 21
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
12 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 12
14 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Niva's more proactive style and Ostrovets FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ostrovets FC having the stronger overall control. Niva come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Niva arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 27 points compared to Ostrovets FC in 14 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ostrovets FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Niva Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 27 points from 15 games, Niva bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a 35:18 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ostrovets FC Analysis

Ostrovets FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 15 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats with a 18:21 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Niva won 4 times, Ostrovets FC won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Niva's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: Niva wins 4, draws 3, Ostrovets FC wins 2

Lineups

Ostrovets FC
Formation
Niva
I. Frolov
I. Frolov
K. Goncharik
K. Goncharik
R. Davyskiba
R. Davyskiba
I. Zaytsev
I. Zaytsev
A. Davidovich
A. Davidovich
M. Boychenko
M. Boychenko
I. Mokshin
I. Mokshin
R. Medvedev
R. Medvedev
E. Mikhey
E. Mikhey
A. Kilyimanov
A. Kilyimanov
G. Krivtsov
G. Krivtsov
D. Kashtelyan
D. Kashtelyan
D. Sibilev
D. Sibilev
V. Shcherbo
V. Shcherbo
V. Milyutin
V. Milyutin
A. Kuratnik
A. Kuratnik
R. Kozel
R. Kozel
D. Galuza
D. Galuza
I. Monich
I. Monich
N. Leshkevich
N. Leshkevich
D. Fedortsov
D. Fedortsov
P. Pampukha
P. Pampukha
Ostrovets FC 2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
I. Frolov
G
10
K. Goncharik
↓ 71'
M
18
R. Davyskiba
M
7
I. Zaytsev
8
A. Davidovich
11
M. Boychenko
↓ 63'
14
I. Mokshin
17
R. Medvedev
↓ 63'
19
E. Mikhey
↓ 71'
21
A. Kilyimanov
🟨 57'
44
G. Krivtsov
↓ 63'
Substitutes
82
V. Drozd
2
D. Merkulov
4
D. Prudnik
↑ 63'
D
9
A. Fedosenko
↑ 71'
15
A. Gonzhurov
20
G. Zhernosek
22
M. Kalinovskiy
↑ 63'
23
E. Isachenko
81
G. Skripnik
↑ 63'
97
D. Tsyk
↑ 71'
Niva 3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
D. Kashtelyan
G
8
D. Sibilev
M
18
V. Shcherbo
🟥 47'
D
4
V. Milyutin
D
9
A. Kuratnik
↓ 80'
M
88
R. Kozel
D
7
D. Galuza
↓ 80'
15
I. Monich
↓ 46'
21
N. Leshkevich
23
D. Fedortsov
⚽ 58'
29
P. Pampukha
↓ 48'
Substitutes
12
R. Belov
3
M. Druchik
↑ 48'
D
10
V. Dybin
↑ 46'
M
20
A. Martysevich
41
A. Tkhagalegov
47
V. Skomarovskiy
↑ 80'
69
E. Mashagin
77
V. Shubovich
D
99
V. Bondarenko
⚽ 90' ↑ 80'
M
Last matches: Niva
23.08.26
1.
Niva
Lida
2
3
L
15.08.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
6
2
W
09.08.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
1
W
05.08.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
2
1
W
31.07.26
1.
Niva
Dinamo Minsk II
2
1
W
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Niva
Uni Minsk
3
1
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Niva
Gomel II
2
1
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
Last matches: Ostrovets FC
22.08.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Smorgon
1
0
W
16.08.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
1
4
L
10.08.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
2
1
W
05.08.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Osipovichy
2
0
W
01.08.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Lida
1
3
L
10.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
28.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
1
1
D
20.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Slonim
1
1
D
06.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
BATE II
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Uni Minsk
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
15.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Gomel II
0
0
D
08.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
1
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Volna
2
2
D
24.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Smorgon
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
3
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
1
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Osipovichy
1
1
D
H2H: Niva vs Ostrovets FC
25.07.26
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
0
W
04.10.25
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Niva
1
2
W
01.06.25
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
02.11.24
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
1
0
W
07.07.24
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Niva
3
3
D
28.10.23
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
24.06.23
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Niva
1
1
D
09.10.21
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Niva
5
2
L
02.10.21
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
0
3
L
Last matches: Niva
09.08.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
1
W
05.08.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
2
1
W
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
H2H at home: Niva
25.07.26
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
0
W
01.06.25
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
02.11.24
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
1
0
W
28.10.23
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
02.10.21
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
0
3
L
Last matches: Ostrovets FC
22.08.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Smorgon
1
0
W
10.08.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
2
1
W
04.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
20.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Slonim
1
1
D
15.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Gomel II
0
0
D
02.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Volna
2
2
D
18.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
3
1
W
04.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Osipovichy
1
1
D
H2H away: Ostrovets FC
25.07.26
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
0
L
01.06.25
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
1
L
02.11.24
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
1
0
L
28.10.23
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
02.10.21
H2H
Niva
Ostrovets FC
0
3
W

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Niva Home
21 13 3 5 51:26 25 42
L W W W W
2 21 12 5 4 39:22 17 41
D D L L W
3 21 12 3 6 40:34 6 39
W L W W W
4 21 11 5 5 41:25 16 38
L W L L L
5 21 11 3 7 39:26 13 36
W L W L L
6 21 11 2 8 37:34 3 35
W W W D W
7 21 10 4 7 40:29 11 34
W W L W D
8 21 9 4 8 37:37 0 31
L L D D W
9 21 8 5 8 41:38 3 29
L L L W L
10 21 9 2 10 29:36 -7 29
D W L W W
11 20 7 4 9 33:32 1 25
L L L L L
12 21 5 9 7 25:31 -6 24
W L W W L
13 21 6 6 9 21:27 -6 24
W D D W D
14 21 6 5 10 24:30 -6 23
L W W L L
15 20 6 4 10 22:35 -13 22
L D L W W
16 21 5 5 11 28:37 -9 20
L L W L L
17 21 4 5 12 29:49 -20 17
W W L L L
18 21 5 2 14 23:51 -28 17
W D W L W