BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
City Stadium
Niva
Match Timeline
Minsk II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
20'
V. Milyutin ↔ V. Shubovich
Niva
23'
D. Fedortsov · Assist: A. Kuratnik
Niva
🔄
34'
↔ A. Tkhagalegov
Niva
🟨
37'
E. Kindruk
Minsk II
39'
I. Bondarenko · Assist: V. Ganchuk
Minsk II
🟨
40'
I. Monich
Niva
🟨
42'
I. Bondarenko
Minsk II
🟨
52'
M. Sukharenko
Minsk II
54'
I. Monich · Assist: D. Galuza
Niva
🔄
62'
R. Sitnikov ↔ I. Ivanov
Minsk II
🟨
65'
Y. Yatsyno
Minsk II
65'
D. Fedortsov
Niva
🟨
71'
V. Zholudov
Minsk II
🔄
71'
P. Sheremet ↔ A. Sapego
Minsk II
🔄
71'
Y. Yatsyno ↔ D. Morozov
Minsk II
🔄
71'
R. Tovstik ↔ I. Porshnev
Minsk II
🟨
77'
D. Denisenko
Minsk II
🔄
79'
I. Monich ↔ V. Dybin
Niva
🔄
79'
V. Bondarenko ↔ P. Pampukha
Niva
🔄
79'
A. Kuratnik ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🔄
86'
G. Bulatskiy ↔ N. Bulyga
Minsk II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
77.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
6.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Niva Win 22.8%
Draw 42.5%
Minsk II Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Niva2.1
Minsk II1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Niva Niva
WWDLW
12 GF / 20 GA
Minsk II Minsk II
WLDWL
3 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.6
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
3
7
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Niva Niva 8 matches
Minsk II Minsk II 5 matches
Niva Statistic Minsk II
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
4 Losses 4
12 Goals For 3
20 Goals Against 15
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 3
7 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Minsk II. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Minsk II having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Niva Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 14, Niva still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 9:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Fedortsov (3 goals), P. Pampukha (2 goals), D. Galuza (1 goals), with creative support from D. Fedortsov (2 assists), D. Galuza (1 assists), I. Monich (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Minsk II Analysis

Minsk II sit 15 with 3 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:15 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Lutskovich (3 goals), A. Voskoboynikov (2 goals), K. Kaplenko (2 goals), with creative support from G. Drozd (4 assists), S. Zhivushko (3 assists), K. Kaplenko (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Niva won 2 times, Minsk II won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Niva's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.2%)
H2H summary: Niva wins 2, draws 1, Minsk II wins 0

Lineups

Niva
Formation
Minsk II
N. Dovnar
N. Dovnar
V. Milyutin
V. Milyutin
D. Galuza
🎯
D. Galuza
D. Sibilev
D. Sibilev
A. Kuratnik
🎯
A. Kuratnik
I. Monich
I. Monich
V. Shcherbo
V. Shcherbo
N. Leshkevich
N. Leshkevich
D. Fedortsov
⚽ 2
D. Fedortsov
R. Kozel
R. Kozel
V. Bondarenko
V. Bondarenko
M. Sukharenko
M. Sukharenko
R. Sitnikov
R. Sitnikov
P. Sheremet
P. Sheremet
V. Zholudov
V. Zholudov
Y. Yatsyno
Y. Yatsyno
G. Bulatskiy
G. Bulatskiy
I. Bondarenko
I. Bondarenko
D. Denisenko
D. Denisenko
V. Ganchuk
🎯
V. Ganchuk
E. Kindruk
E. Kindruk
R. Tovstik
R. Tovstik
Niva 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
N. Dovnar
4
V. Milyutin
↓ 20'
7
D. Galuza
🎯 54'
8
D. Sibilev
9
A. Kuratnik
🎯 23' ↓ 79'
15
I. Monich
⚽ 54' ↓ 79' 🟨 40'
18
V. Shcherbo
21
N. Leshkevich
23
D. Fedortsov
⚽ 23' ⚽ 65'
88
R. Kozel
99
V. Bondarenko
↓ 79'
Substitutes
35
D. Kashtelyan
3
M. Druchik
10
V. Dybin
↑ 79'
20
A. Martysevich
29
P. Pampukha
↑ 79'
41
A. Tkhagalegov
↑ 34'
47
V. Skomarovskiy
↑ 79'
69
E. Mashagin
77
V. Shubovich
↑ 20'
91
A. Voronovich
Minsk II 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Sukharenko
🟨 52'
2
R. Sitnikov
↓ 62'
4
P. Sheremet
↓ 71'
5
V. Zholudov
🟨 71'
6
Y. Yatsyno
↓ 71' 🟨 65'
7
G. Bulatskiy
↓ 86'
9
I. Bondarenko
⚽ 39' 🟨 42'
13
D. Denisenko
🟨 77'
14
V. Ganchuk
🎯 39'
17
E. Kindruk
🟨 37'
19
R. Tovstik
↓ 71'
Substitutes
16
M. Gerashchenko
8
I. Ivanov
↑ 62'
10
N. Bulyga
↑ 86'
11
T. Voytekhovich
12
Z. Drachev
15
A. Sapego
↑ 71'
18
D. Morozov
↑ 71'
20
A. Lesik
21
R. Safi
22
I. Porshnev
↑ 71'
Last matches: Niva
25.07.26
1.
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
0
W
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Niva
Uni Minsk
3
1
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Niva
Gomel II
2
1
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
Last matches: Minsk II
11.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
3
2
W
03.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Gomel II
0
3
L
28.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Orsha
4
0
W
19.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Volna
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Smorgon
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Bumprom
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Lida
2
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
6
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
0
4
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
L
H2H: Niva vs Minsk II
10.05.26
H2H
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
12.10.25
H2H
Niva
Minsk II
2
2
D
07.06.25
H2H
Minsk II
Niva
2
3
W
Last matches: Niva
25.07.26
1.
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
0
W
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
H2H at home: Niva
10.05.26
H2H
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
12.10.25
H2H
Niva
Minsk II
2
2
D
Last matches: Minsk II
11.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
3
2
W
28.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Orsha
4
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Smorgon
0
1
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Minsk II
10.05.26
H2H
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
L
12.10.25
H2H
Niva
Minsk II
2
2
D

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 5 1 37:16 21 35
D D W W W
2 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5
Niva Home
15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 29:20 9 25
D L W D W
7 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
8 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
9 15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 16 2 5 9 21:40 -19 11
L L L L L
18 16 2 1 13 18:48 -30 7
W L L L W
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation