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BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
10.10.2026 11:00
City Stadium

Niva vs Gomel II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Niva Win 88%
Draw 4.3%
Gomel II Win 7.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Niva2.21
Gomel II1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Niva Niva
WWDLW
70 GF / 40 GA
Gomel II Gomel II
WLDWL
36 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
19
BTTS Yes
16
23
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Niva Niva 30 matches
Gomel II Gomel II 27 matches
Niva Statistic Gomel II
18 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 16
70 Goals For 36
40 Goals Against 55
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
19 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 23
23 Over 2.5 18
14 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Niva's more proactive style and Gomel II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Niva arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 55 points compared to Gomel II in 17 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gomel II having the stronger overall control. Gomel II arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gomel II.

Niva Analysis

Niva approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 55 points after 27 outings. They have recorded 17 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a 67:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Gomel II Analysis

With 21 points from 27 games and a place of 17, Gomel II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 36:55, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Niva won 2 times, Gomel II won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Niva's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Niva wins 2, draws 0, Gomel II wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 56:28 28 57
W W W W D
2
Niva Home
27 17 4 6 67:31 36 55
D W L W W
3 27 17 3 7 51:43 8 54
W W L W W
4 27 16 5 6 56:31 25 53
W W W L W
5 27 14 5 8 49:32 17 47
D W W D W
6 26 14 3 9 45:40 5 45
L W D W W
7 27 12 5 10 52:41 11 41
W D W L L
8 27 11 7 9 52:44 8 40
D W W W D
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 27 8 11 8 37:39 -2 35
D D L W W
11 27 10 4 13 40:50 -10 34
L L L L W
12 27 9 6 12 33:36 -3 33
W L W W D
13 27 9 3 15 37:50 -13 30
L L D L L
14 27 7 6 14 28:51 -23 27
D L L D L
15 26 6 8 12 25:35 -10 26
D L L D L
16 27 5 7 15 36:61 -25 22
D L L W L
17 27 5 6 16 36:55 -19 21
L L L L L
18 27 5 4 18 29:67 -38 19
L D D L L