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NIGERIA › NPFL
18.10.2026 15:00
Bako Kontagora Stadium

Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Niger Tornadoes Win 62.3%
Draw 10.1%
Ikorodu City Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Niger Tornadoes0.8
Ikorodu City1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes
WWDLW
6 GF / 7 GA
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City
WLDWL
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 8 matches
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 8 matches
Niger Tornadoes Statistic Ikorodu City
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
6 Goals For 10
7 Goals Against 7
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ikorodu City's more proactive style and Niger Tornadoes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ikorodu City. Ikorodu City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 12 points while Niger Tornadoes sit 12 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ikorodu City having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Niger Tornadoes Analysis

Niger Tornadoes sit 12 with 9 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ikorodu City Analysis

Ikorodu City come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 12 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Niger Tornadoes won 1 times, Ikorodu City won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Niger Tornadoes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
H2H summary: Niger Tornadoes wins 1, draws 1, Ikorodu City wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
D W W L W
2 8 4 4 0 13:2 11 16
D W D D W
3 8 4 2 2 13:8 5 14
W L W D W
4 8 3 4 1 12:9 3 13
D L D W D
5 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L W L D L
6 8 3 3 2 10:7 3 12
W L D W L
7 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
L W L W L
8 8 3 3 2 10:9 1 12
W D D D W
9 8 3 3 2 10:11 -1 12
W D D W L
10 8 2 5 1 11:11 0 11
L D D D D
11 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
W D W L D
12 9 3 2 4 10:12 -2 11
W L D D L
13 8 3 1 4 9:9 0 10
L W L W L
14 8 3 1 4 6:7 -1 10
W L L W D
15 8 2 3 3 6:7 -1 9
D W L D L
16 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D L W L W
17 9 2 2 5 10:13 -3 8
L D L D L
18 8 2 2 4 7:14 -7 8
W L W L L
19 8 2 1 5 11:14 -3 7
L W W D L
20 8 1 2 5 5:13 -8 2
L D L D W
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation