FRANCE › LIGUE 1
22.08.2026 18:45
Allianz Riviera
Referee: Romain Lissorgue, France
Nice
Match Timeline
Lorient
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Zoumana Diallo
Nice
🔄
60'
Z. Diallo ↔ M. Cho
Nice
🔄
69'
G. Bernardeau ↔ S. Faye
Lorient
🔄
70'
M. Kone ↔ A. Tosin
Lorient
🔄
72'
D. Sylla ↔ A. Georgen
Lorient
🔄
72'
T. Le Bris ↔ P. Katseris
Lorient
🔄
81'
J. Clauss ↔ H. Koutoune
Nice
🔄
81'
S. Diop ↔ N. Ngoumou
Nice
🔄
88'
X. Mandza Tsiendi ↔ M. Abdelmonem
Nice

Nice vs Lorient Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
45.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nice Win 39.1%
Draw 15%
Lorient Win 45.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice1.37
Lorient1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nice Nice
WWDLW
7 GF / 2 GA
Lorient Lorient
WLDWL
12 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
0
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nice Nice 5 matches
Lorient Lorient 6 matches
Nice Statistic Lorient
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 12
2 Goals Against 8
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
0 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nice won 5 times, Lorient won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Nice's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Nice 3-4-2-1 / Lorient 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Nice 4, Lorient 1
H2H summary: Nice wins 5, draws 7, Lorient wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14
Nice Home
5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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