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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
22.08.2026 18:45
Allianz Riviera
Referee: Romain Lissorgue, France
Nice
Match Timeline
Lorient
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Zoumana Diallo
Nice
🔄
60'
Z. Diallo ↔ M. Cho
Nice
🔄
69'
G. Bernardeau ↔ S. Faye
Lorient
🔄
70'
M. Kone ↔ A. Tosin
Lorient
🔄
72'
D. Sylla ↔ A. Georgen
Lorient
🔄
72'
T. Le Bris ↔ P. Katseris
Lorient
🔄
81'
J. Clauss ↔ H. Koutoune
Nice
🔄
81'
S. Diop ↔ N. Ngoumou
Nice
🔄
88'
X. Mandza Tsiendi ↔ M. Abdelmonem
Nice

Nice vs Lorient Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
45.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nice Win 39.1%
Draw 15%
Lorient Win 45.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice1.37
Lorient1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nice Nice
D D L W W
7 GF / 2 GA
Lorient Lorient
L L W W W
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
0
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nice Nice 5 matches
Lorient Lorient 6 matches
Nice Statistic Lorient
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 12
2 Goals Against 8
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
0 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nice won 5 times, Lorient won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Nice's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Nice 3-4-2-1 / Lorient 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Nice 4, Lorient 1
H2H summary: Nice wins 5, draws 7, Lorient wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 2 1 13:5 8 14
W L W D W
2 7 4 2 1 14:9 5 14
W W W W L
3 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W L W D W
4 7 4 2 1 10:5 5 14
D W L W W
5 7 4 2 1 10:6 4 14
L D W D W
6 7 4 1 2 15:14 1 13
L W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 7:6 1 11
W W L D W
8
Nice Home
8 3 2 3 8:10 -2 11
W L W W L
9 7 3 1 3 14:11 3 10
W W L D L
10 7 3 0 4 14:10 4 9
W W L L L
11 8 2 3 3 14:12 2 9
L D W L L
12 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
W D W D L
13 7 3 0 4 11:17 -6 9
W L W W L
14 7 2 1 4 12:15 -3 7
L L L D W
15 7 2 1 4 9:15 -6 7
L L W D L
16 7 1 3 3 10:15 -5 6
L L W D D
17 7 1 1 5 5:16 -11 4
L L L L L
18 7 0 2 5 5:11 -6 2
L L L D L
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