FRANCE › LIGUE 1
20.09.2026 15:15
Allianz Riviera
Referee: Willy Delajod, France
Nice
Match Timeline
Lille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Mohamed Abdelmonem
Nice
⚽
22'
N. Ngoy
Nice
🟨
45+1'
Xavier Mandza
Nice
🔄
55'
E. Mbappe ↔ D. Bakwa
Lille
🟨
57'
Mohamed Amoura
Nice
🔄
58'
Y. Ndayishimiye ↔ A. Seidu
Nice
🔄
64'
B. Onal ↔ O. Sahraoui
Lille
🔄
64'
H. Haraldsson ↔ O. Giroud
Lille
🔄
64'
B. Andre ↔ M. Kjaergaard
Lille
⚽
67'
M. Amoura · Assist: G. Hein
Nice
🔄
73'
D. Coulibaly ↔ E. Pereira
Nice
🔄
74'
E. Wahi ↔ S. Diop
Nice
🔄
77'
N. Bentaleb ↔ N. Mukau
Lille
🔄
77'
M. Amoura ↔ N. Ngoumou
Nice
🔄
78'
N. Nkounkou ↔ A. Abdi
Nice
⚽
79'
A. Ueda · Assist: M. Kjaergaard
Lille
🟨
90+1'
Maurits Kjaergaard
Lille

Nice vs Lille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds 2.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
2.17 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.85 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84%
1.23 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Nice Win 35%
Draw 11.1%
Lille Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice1.05
Lille1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nice Nice
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Lille Lille
WLDWL
22 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
1
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
6
2.75
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nice Nice 9 matches
Lille Lille 10 matches
Nice Statistic Lille
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
8 Goals For 22
7 Goals Against 13
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
1 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 0
2.75 Shots On Goal 5.2
12.5 Total Shots 9.8
6.5 Corners 2.4
60.8% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nice won 4 times, Lille won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Nice's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Nice 3-4-2-1 / Lille 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Nice 4, Lille 2
H2H summary: Nice wins 4, draws 6, Lille wins 4

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4
Lille Away
5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14
Nice Home
5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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