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03.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Referee: D. Herrera
Newells Old Boys
Match Timeline
Lanus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
6'
L. Giannetti ↔ B. Cabrera
Newells Old Boys
🟨
23'
Lucas Besozzi
Lanus
🔄
60'
F. Guch ↔ A. Sonora
Newells Old Boys
🔄
60'
S. Solari ↔ W. Nunez
Newells Old Boys
🔄
64'
F. N. Watson ↔ Marcelino Moreno
Lanus
🟨
73'
Ronaldo De Jesus
Lanus
🔄
76'
L. Besozzi ↔ G. Perez
Lanus
🔄
76'
A. Wlk ↔ Y. Valois
Lanus
🔄
76'
A. Medina ↔ G. Lobos
Lanus
🟨
77'
Yoshan Valois
Lanus
🔄
87'
L. Regiardo ↔ J. Gomez
Newells Old Boys
🔄
90'
E. Salvio ↔ T. Laplace
Lanus

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Newells Old Boys Win 47.6%
Draw 7.3%
Lanus Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newells Old Boys0.99
Lanus1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
WWDLW
26 GF / 37 GA
Lanus Lanus
WLDWL
39 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
14
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
14
3.19
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 27 matches
Lanus Lanus 35 matches
Newells Old Boys Statistic Lanus
7 Wins 15
10 Draws 7
10 Losses 13
26 Goals For 39
37 Goals Against 36
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
14 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 20
9 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 12
3.19 Shots On Goal 4.3
9.42 Total Shots 12.7
3.62 Corners 4.73
42.6% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lanus's more proactive style and Newells Old Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Lanus. Lanus carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 24 points while Newells Old Boys sit 14 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Newells Old Boys Analysis

With 15 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Newells Old Boys still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Juan Ignacio Ramírez (3 goals), Matías Cóccaro (3 goals), Jeronimo Russo (1 goals), with creative support from Jeronimo Russo (2 assists), Juan Ignacio Ramírez (1 assists), Walter Mazzantti (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lanus Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Lanus have collected 24 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Valois (4 goals), F. Peña (3 goals), A. Wlk (3 goals), with creative support from E. Salvio (3 assists), Y. Valois (1 assists), C. Izquierdoz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys won 9 times, Lanus won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Newells Old Boys's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Newells Old Boys 4-2-3-1 / Lanus 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newells Old Boys wins 9, draws 2, Lanus wins 4

Standings

Clausura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 19:10 9 26
D W W W L
2 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
W W D W L
3 12 5 6 1 19:13 6 21
D W W W D
4 12 5 6 1 17:13 4 21
L D W D W
5
Lanus Away
12 6 2 4 15:9 6 20
W D W W W
6 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
W L D L D
7 12 5 3 4 11:12 -1 18
D L W D W
8 12 4 5 3 11:9 2 17
L D W D D
9 12 4 2 6 15:13 2 14
D W L W L
10 12 4 2 6 5:11 -6 14
W L L D W
11 12 4 1 7 17:21 -4 13
L L L L W
12 12 2 5 5 9:12 -3 11
L D D L D
13 12 2 5 5 12:18 -6 11
D D L L D
14 12 2 4 6 10:16 -6 10
D D D L L
15 12 2 3 7 11:18 -7 9
D L L W L
Knockout Phase