ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Newells Old Boys Win 67.5%
Draw 9.8%
Deportivo Riestra Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newells Old Boys0.84
Deportivo Riestra0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
WWDLW
18 GF / 32 GA
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
WLDWL
11 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.52
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
10
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
2
3.26
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 20 matches
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 21 matches
Newells Old Boys Statistic Deportivo Riestra
4 Wins 3
7 Draws 9
9 Losses 9
18 Goals For 11
32 Goals Against 16
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.52
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
10 BTTS Yes 5
16 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 2
5 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 13
3.26 Shots On Goal 3.47
9.79 Total Shots 10
3.68 Corners 4.16
43.5% Ball Possession 37.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Riestra. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Newells Old Boys expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Riestra in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Riestra having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Newells Old Boys Analysis

With 15 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Newells Old Boys still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Juan Ignacio Ramírez (3 goals), Matías Cóccaro (2 goals), Jeronimo Russo (1 goals), with creative support from Jeronimo Russo (2 assists), Walter Mazzantti (1 assists), Facundo Guch (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

Deportivo Riestra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 11 points from 16 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 5:12, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Antony Alonso (2 goals), Mariano Bracamonte (1 goals), Jonathan Herrera (1 goals), with creative support from Antony Alonso (1 assists), Nicolás Sansotre (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys won 1 times, Deportivo Riestra won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Newells Old Boys's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Newells Old Boys 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Riestra 5-4-1
H2H summary: Newells Old Boys wins 1, draws 2, Deportivo Riestra wins 0
Last matches: Newells Old Boys
02.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
31.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
0
1
L
25.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
3
2
W
12.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
1
W
29.03.26
Cop
Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
0
5
L
11.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Platense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
0
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
3
L
16.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
2
3
L
01.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
0
2
L
28.01.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
1
1
D
24.01.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
Last matches: Deportivo Riestra
02.08.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
0
1
L
29.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
3
0
W
17.07.26
Cop
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Lanus
0
0
D
24.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
2
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Talleres Cordoba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Instituto Cordoba
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
0
2
L
25.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
18.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
12.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
0
0
D
02.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Platense
0
0
D
25.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Huracan
0
0
D
16.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
09.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
L
05.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
1
1
D
29.01.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
H2H: Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra
16.02.26
H2H
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
27.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
3
3
D
16.05.24
H2H
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
0
1
W
Last matches: Newells Old Boys
02.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
25.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
29.03.26
Cop
Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
11.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Platense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
0
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
2
3
L
28.01.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Riestra
29.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
17.07.26
Cop
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Lanus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Talleres Cordoba
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
0
2
L
18.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
25.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
L
01.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
14.05.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
JJ Urquiza
3
2
W
27.04.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
13.04.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Fénix
4
1
W
02.04.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
San Telmo
1
1
D
20.03.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
CA Estudiantes
2
1
W
09.03.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Flandria
1
0
W
26.02.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
0
1
L
22.02.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
San Miguel
0
0
D
18.02.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Español
2
1
W
07.02.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Tristan Suarez
4
3
W

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L W L L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D L L W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W W W L D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L L L D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
L W W L W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
L L W L D
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L W L L L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
W L D L W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W L W D
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
L W D L L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W L W W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L D L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
W L L L D
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D L W D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L L W D W
Knockout Phase