24.02.2026 20:00
St James' Park
Referee: D. Massa
Newcastle
Match Timeline
Qarabag
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
S. Tonali · Assist: W. Osula
Newcastle
⚽
6'
Joelinton · Assist: H. Barnes
Newcastle
⚽
51'
C. Duran · Assist: J. Montiel
Qarabag
⚽
52'
S. Botman · Assist: K. Trippier
Newcastle
🔄
53'
K. Trippier ↔ L. Hall
Newcastle
🔄
53'
S. Botman ↔ J. Willock
Newcastle
🔄
54'
Joelinton ↔ A. Gordon
Newcastle
⚽
57'
E. Cafarquliyev · Assist: M. Jankovic
Qarabag
🔄
62'
J. Montiel ↔ Kady Borges
Qarabag
🔄
69'
C. Duran ↔ O. Kashchuk
Qarabag
🔄
73'
W. Osula ↔ Y. Wissa
Newcastle
🔄
79'
A. Zoubir ↔ E. Addai
Qarabag
🔄
79'
M. Jankovic ↔ M. Qurbanly
Qarabag
🔄
79'
E. Cafarquliyev ↔ T. Bayramov
Qarabag
🟨
80'
Pedro Bicalho
Qarabag
🔄
87'
J. Murphy ↔ L. Shahar
Newcastle

Newcastle vs Qarabag Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Qarabag Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.9
Qarabag1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
66 GF / 50 GA
Qarabag Qarabag
WLDWL
29 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
24
BTTS Yes
9
26
Over 2.5
11
5.18
Shots on Goal
2.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 38 matches
Qarabag Qarabag 15 matches
Newcastle Statistic Qarabag
16 Wins 8
9 Draws 1
13 Losses 6
66 Goals For 29
50 Goals Against 32
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
24 BTTS Yes 9
31 Over 1.5 13
26 Over 2.5 11
15 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 2
5.18 Shots On Goal 2.73
13.63 Total Shots 7.4
6.39 Corners 2.67
52.4% Ball Possession 33.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 2 times, Qarabag won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:3 from Newcastle's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-3-3 / Qarabag 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 2, draws 0, Qarabag wins 0

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)