ENGLAND › FA CUP
07.03.2026 20:00
Referee: S. Barrott
Newcastle
Match Timeline
Manchester City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
H. Barnes · Assist: S. Tonali
Newcastle
⚽
39'
Savinho · Assist: J. Doku
Manchester City
⚽
47'
O. Marmoush · Assist: M. Nunes
Manchester City
🔄
62'
A. Elanga ↔ Joelinton
Newcastle
🔄
63'
K. Trippier ↔ D. Burn
Newcastle
🔄
63'
W. Osula ↔ Y. Wissa
Newcastle
⚽
65'
O. Marmoush · Assist: M. Nunes
Manchester City
🔄
72'
N. Woltemade ↔ A. Gordon
Newcastle
🔄
73'
O. Marmoush ↔ A. Semenyo
Manchester City
🟨
78'
Joelinton
Newcastle
🔄
79'
J. Doku ↔ P. Foden
Manchester City
🔄
79'
Savinho ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🔄
80'
L. Hall ↔ V. Livramento
Newcastle
🟨
90'
Yoane Wissa
Newcastle

Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.45
Manchester City1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
73 GF / 56 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
86 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
2.21
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
27
BTTS Yes
19
29
Over 2.5
23
5.29
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 41 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 39 matches
Newcastle Statistic Manchester City
18 Wins 25
9 Draws 7
14 Losses 7
73 Goals For 86
56 Goals Against 37
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 2.21
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
27 BTTS Yes 19
34 Over 1.5 35
29 Over 2.5 23
17 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 16
7 Failed To Score 5
5.29 Shots On Goal 5.67
13.8 Total Shots 15
6.37 Corners 5.46
52.9% Ball Possession 60.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 2 times, Manchester City won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:36 from Newcastle's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 2, draws 2, Manchester City wins 11