Newcastle
Match Timeline
Liverpool
Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 68.3%
Draw 6.4%
Liverpool Win 25.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.46
Liverpool1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Liverpool
WLDWL
2 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
1
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
7 matches
Liverpool
2 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 0 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 10 | Goals For | 2 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 1 times, Liverpool won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:33 from Newcastle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Liverpool 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Newcastle 4, Liverpool 4
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 1, draws 4, Liverpool wins 10
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Liverpool
Away
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
| 7 |
Newcastle
Home
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
D
W
D
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship