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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
23.08.2026 15:30
St James' Park
Referee: Stuart Attwell, England
Newcastle
Match Timeline
Liverpool
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
A. Elanga · Assist: W. Osula
Newcastle
🟨
25'
Yoane Wissa
Newcastle
🟨
30'
Jeremie Frimpong
Liverpool
🟨
30'
Miloš Kerkez
Liverpool
🟨
34'
Lewis Miley
Newcastle
⚽
55'
C. Gakpo · Assist: R. Gravenberch
Liverpool
🔄
56'
W. Osula ↔ J. Willock
Newcastle
🔄
56'
S. Steur ↔ J. Ramsey
Newcastle
⚽
57'
J. Willock · Assist: Y. Wissa
Newcastle
🔄
63'
F. Wirtz ↔ A. Mac Allister
Liverpool
🔄
63'
R. Ngumoha ↔ V. Munoz
Liverpool
🟨
64'
Jacob Ramsey
Newcastle
🔄
70'
J. Jacquet ↔ R. Araujo
Liverpool
🔄
76'
L. Miley ↔ A. Bamba
Newcastle
🔄
76'
A. Elanga ↔ J. Murphy
Newcastle
🔄
78'
R. Gravenberch ↔ L. Koumas
Liverpool
🟨
79'
Jacob Murphy
Newcastle
🟨
90+3'
Lukáš Horníček
Newcastle
🟨
90'
Virgil van Dijk
Liverpool
🔄
90+5'
Y. Wissa ↔ F. Schar
Newcastle
⚽
90'
D. Szoboszlai
Liverpool

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 68.3%
Draw 6.4%
Liverpool Win 25.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.46
Liverpool1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Liverpool Liverpool
WLDWL
2 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
1
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 7 matches
Liverpool Liverpool 2 matches
Newcastle Statistic Liverpool
2 Wins 0
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 2
12 Goals Against 3
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 1
7 Over 1.5 1
5 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 1 times, Liverpool won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:33 from Newcastle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Liverpool 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Newcastle 4, Liverpool 4
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 1, draws 4, Liverpool wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:5 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 8:4 4 12
L W W W W
3 5 3 1 1 16:5 11 10
W W D L W
4 5 2 3 0 10:4 6 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 7:3 4 9
D W D D W
6 5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
W D W D D
7 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
8 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
L D D W W
9 5 2 2 1 9:9 0 8
W L D W D
10 5 2 1 2 10:12 -2 7
L D L W W
11 5 2 0 3 7:11 -4 6
L W L L W
12 5 1 2 2 8:8 0 5
D L D W L
13 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L W D D L
14 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
L L D W L
15 5 1 1 3 6:11 -5 4
D L W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
W L D L L
17 5 0 3 2 6:8 -2 3
L D D D L
18 5 1 0 4 1:10 -9 3
W L L L L
19 5 0 2 3 5:8 -3 2
D D L L L
20 5 0 2 3 2:8 -6 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship