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23.08.2026 15:30
St James' Park
Referee: Stuart Attwell, England
Newcastle
Match Timeline
Liverpool
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
A. Elanga · Assist: W. Osula
Newcastle
🟨
25'
Yoane Wissa
Newcastle
🟨
30'
Jeremie Frimpong
Liverpool
🟨
30'
Miloš Kerkez
Liverpool
🟨
34'
Lewis Miley
Newcastle
⚽
55'
C. Gakpo · Assist: R. Gravenberch
Liverpool
🔄
56'
W. Osula ↔ J. Willock
Newcastle
🔄
56'
S. Steur ↔ J. Ramsey
Newcastle
⚽
57'
J. Willock · Assist: Y. Wissa
Newcastle
🔄
63'
F. Wirtz ↔ A. Mac Allister
Liverpool
🔄
63'
R. Ngumoha ↔ V. Munoz
Liverpool
🟨
64'
Jacob Ramsey
Newcastle
🔄
70'
J. Jacquet ↔ R. Araujo
Liverpool
🔄
76'
L. Miley ↔ A. Bamba
Newcastle
🔄
76'
A. Elanga ↔ J. Murphy
Newcastle
🔄
78'
R. Gravenberch ↔ L. Koumas
Liverpool
🟨
79'
Jacob Murphy
Newcastle
🟨
90+3'
Lukáš Horníček
Newcastle
🟨
90'
Virgil van Dijk
Liverpool
🔄
90+5'
Y. Wissa ↔ F. Schar
Newcastle
⚽
90'
D. Szoboszlai
Liverpool

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 68.3%
Draw 6.4%
Liverpool Win 25.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.46
Liverpool1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
D L L W L
6 GF / 11 GA
Liverpool Liverpool
D L
2 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
1
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 7 matches
Liverpool Liverpool 2 matches
Newcastle Statistic Liverpool
2 Wins 0
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 2
12 Goals Against 3
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 1
7 Over 1.5 1
5 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 1 times, Liverpool won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:33 from Newcastle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Liverpool 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Newcastle 4, Liverpool 4
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 1, draws 4, Liverpool wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 14:5 9 24
W W W W L
2 9 7 0 2 20:10 10 21
L L W W W
3 9 6 1 2 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 1 3 19:15 4 16
W L W W L
5 9 4 3 2 11:9 2 15
L W W L W
6 9 3 5 1 16:9 7 14
W D L D W
7 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W W W L L
8 9 3 3 3 10:10 0 12
W W W D L
9 9 3 3 3 10:13 -3 12
D W W D W
10 9 2 5 2 11:10 1 11
D D L D L
11 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
L D D L D
12 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W L L W L
13 9 3 2 4 14:18 -4 11
D D L W L
14 8 2 4 2 8:9 -1 10
L L D W D
15 9 2 3 4 9:11 -2 9
D W W L D
16 9 3 0 6 9:16 -7 9
W L L W W
17 9 1 4 4 10:15 -5 7
L L D D D
18 9 2 1 6 9:21 -12 7
L L L W D
19 9 1 3 5 6:12 -6 6
L D L L L
20 9 1 2 6 7:17 -10 5
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship