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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Newcastle
FT
4 - 3
Leeds
St. James' Park
Referee: M. Salisbury
Newcastle
Match Timeline
Leeds
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Malick Thiaw
Newcastle
🟨
22'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
⚽
32'
B. Aaronson · Assist: D. Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
⚽
36'
H. Barnes · Assist: N. Woltemade
Newcastle
🟨
45+6'
Joelinton
Newcastle
🟨
45+3'
Anthony Gordon
Newcastle
⚽
45'
D. Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
🔄
46'
M. Thiaw ↔ S. Botman
Newcastle
🔄
46'
S. Tonali ↔ V. Livramento
Newcastle
⚽
54'
Joelinton · Assist: Bruno Guimaraes
Newcastle
🔄
75'
N. Woltemade ↔ Y. Wissa
Newcastle
🔄
76'
F. Schar ↔ J. Ramsey
Newcastle
⚽
79'
B. Aaronson · Assist: I. Gruev
Leeds
🔄
80'
A. Stach ↔ N. Okafor
Leeds
🔄
81'
A. Gordon ↔ J. Murphy
Newcastle
🔄
87'
D. Calvert-Lewin ↔ L. Nmecha
Leeds
🟨
90+10'
Ethan Ampadu
Leeds
🔄
90+7'
J. Rodon ↔ S. Bornauw
Leeds
🔄
90+7'
I. Gruev ↔ A. Tanaka
Leeds
🔄
90+7'
B. Aaronson ↔ W. Gnonto
Leeds
⚽
90'
Bruno Guimaraes
Newcastle
⚽
90'
H. Barnes · Assist: S. Botman
Newcastle

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leeds Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.61
Leeds1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
41 GF / 30 GA
Leeds Leeds
WLDWL
26 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
15
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
12
5.12
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 26 matches
Leeds Leeds 20 matches
Newcastle Statistic Leeds
11 Wins 5
6 Draws 7
9 Losses 8
41 Goals For 26
30 Goals Against 33
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
15 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 16
17 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
5.12 Shots On Goal 4
12.96 Total Shots 12.7
6.27 Corners 4.5
51.7% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 4 times, Leeds won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Newcastle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-3-3 / Leeds 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 4, draws 5, Leeds wins 2
Stats
Newcastle Newcastle
Leeds Leeds
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 3
15 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
545 Total passes 334
471 Passes accurate 256
2.44 expected_goals 1.89
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Newcastle
Formation
Leeds
N. Pope
N. Pope
L. Miley
L. Miley
M. Thiaw
↓
M. Thiaw
F. Schar
↓
F. Schar
L. Hall
L. Hall
Bruno Guimaraes
⚽ 🎯
Bruno Guimaraes
S. Tonali
↓
S. Tonali
Joelinton
⚽
Joelinton
H. Barnes
⚽ 2
H. Barnes
N. Woltemade
🎯 ↓
N. Woltemade
A. Gordon
↓
A. Gordon
Lucas Perri
Lucas Perri
J. Rodon
↓
J. Rodon
J. Bijol
J. Bijol
P. Struijk
P. Struijk
E. Ampadu
E. Ampadu
J. Justin
J. Justin
A. Stach
↓
A. Stach
I. Gruev
🎯 ↓
I. Gruev
G. Gudmundsson
G. Gudmundsson
D. Calvert-Lewin
⚽ 🎯 ↓
D. Calvert-Lewin
B. Aaronson
⚽ 2 ↓
B. Aaronson
Newcastle 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
N. Pope
G
67
L. Miley
D
12
M. Thiaw
↓ 46' 🟨 7'
D
5
F. Schar
↓ 76'
D
3
L. Hall
D
39
Bruno Guimaraes
⚽ 90' 🎯 54'
M
8
S. Tonali
↓ 46'
M
7
Joelinton
⚽ 54' 🟨 45+6'
M
11
H. Barnes
⚽ 36' ⚽ 90'
F
27
N. Woltemade
🎯 36' ↓ 75'
F
10
A. Gordon
↓ 81' 🟨 45+3'
F
Substitutes
32
A. Ramsdale
G
2
K. Trippier
D
28
J. Willock
M
9
Y. Wissa
↑ 75'
F
4
S. Botman
🎯 90' ↑ 46'
D
41
J. Ramsey
↑ 76'
M
23
J. Murphy
↑ 81'
M
21
V. Livramento
↑ 46'
D
37
A. Murphy
D
Leeds 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
Lucas Perri
G
6
J. Rodon
↓ 90+7'
D
15
J. Bijol
D
5
P. Struijk
D
4
E. Ampadu
🟨 90+10'
M
24
J. Justin
M
18
A. Stach
↓ 80'
M
44
I. Gruev
🎯 79' ↓ 90+7'
M
3
G. Gudmundsson
M
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
⚽ 45' 🎯 32' ↓ 87' 🟨 22'
F
11
B. Aaronson
⚽ 32' ⚽ 79' ↓ 90+7'
F
Substitutes
26
K. Darlow
G
23
S. Bornauw
↑ 90+7'
D
19
N. Okafor
↑ 80'
F
25
S. Byram
D
14
L. Nmecha
↑ 87'
F
20
J. Harrison
F
10
J. Piroe
F
22
A. Tanaka
↑ 90+7'
M
29
W. Gnonto
↑ 90+7'
F
Last matches: Newcastle
12.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Everton
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Valencia
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bristol City
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
Last matches: Leeds
12.08.26
Fri
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Leeds
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
H2H: Newcastle vs Leeds
07.01.26
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
4
3
W
30.08.25
H2H
Leeds
Newcastle
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Leeds
Newcastle
2
2
D
31.12.22
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
0
0
D
22.01.22
H2H
Leeds
Newcastle
0
1
W
17.09.21
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
1
D
26.01.21
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
2
L
16.12.20
H2H
Leeds
Newcastle
5
2
L
14.04.17
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
1
D
20.11.16
H2H
Leeds
Newcastle
0
2
W
25.09.13
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
2
0
W
Last matches: Newcastle
12.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Everton
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brentford
2
3
L
25.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Newcastle
PSV Eindhoven
3
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Newcastle
Bournemouth
2
2
D
04.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Burnley
2
1
W
02.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
2
D
22.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
2
1
W
H2H at home: Newcastle
07.01.26
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
4
3
W
31.12.22
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
0
0
D
17.09.21
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
1
D
26.01.21
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
2
L
14.04.17
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
1
D
25.09.13
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
2
0
W
Last matches: Leeds
12.08.26
Fri
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Leeds
Derby
3
1
W
01.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
0
0
D
28.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
0
2
L
H2H away: Leeds
07.01.26
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
4
3
L
31.12.22
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
0
0
D
17.09.21
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
1
D
26.01.21
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
2
W
14.04.17
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
1
1
D
25.09.13
H2H
Newcastle
Leeds
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal
38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa
38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton
38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford
38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea
38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle Home
38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds Away
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley
38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship