Newcastle
Match Timeline
Leeds
Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leeds Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.61
Leeds1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle
WWDLW
41 GF / 30 GA
Leeds
WLDWL
26 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
15
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
12
5.12
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
26 matches
Leeds
20 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 41 | Goals For | 26 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.12 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 12.96 | Total Shots | 12.7 |
| 6.27 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 46.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 4 times, Leeds won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Newcastle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-3-3 / Leeds 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 4, draws 5, Leeds wins 2
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Home
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Away
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship