Newcastle
Match Timeline
Bournemouth
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
61.8%
|
1.70 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
1.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
84.8%
|
1.69 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
8.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.70 |
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 38.2%
Draw 20.7%
Bournemouth Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.56
Bournemouth2.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle
WWDLW
14 GF / 14 GA
Bournemouth
WLDWL
24 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
3.43
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
3
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
9 matches
Bournemouth
7 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 14 | Goals For | 24 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.43 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 40.5% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 4 times, Bournemouth won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Newcastle's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Newcastle 4, Bournemouth 4
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 4, draws 8, Bournemouth wins 3
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Newcastle
Home
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Bournemouth
Away
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship