ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE

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Newcastle

Bournemouth

St. James' Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 61.8%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 88%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 87%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	61.8%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	88%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	87%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	84.8%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Newcastle Win 38.2%

Draw 20.7%

Bournemouth Win 41.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle1.56

Bournemouth2.68

Recent Form (Last 5)

Newcastle

WWDLW

14 GF / 14 GA

Bournemouth

WLDWL

24 GF / 11 GA

Key Stats

1.56

Average Goals Scored

3.43

1.56

Average Goals Conceded

1.57

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle 9 matches

Bournemouth 7 matches

Newcastle	Statistic	Bournemouth
3	Wins	3
3	Draws	2
3	Losses	2
14	Goals For	24
14	Goals Against	11
1.56	Avg Goals Scored	3.43
1.56	Avg Goals Conceded	1.57
7	BTTS Yes	7
9	Over 1.5	7
6	Over 2.5	6
3	Over 3.5	4
2	Clean Sheets	0
0	Failed To Score	0
3	Shots On Goal	4.5
12	Total Shots	11
4.5	Corners	6.5
40.5%	Ball Possession	46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 4 times, Bournemouth won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Newcastle's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)

Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Newcastle wins 4, draws 8, Bournemouth wins 3

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Manchester City	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6	W W
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6	W W
3	Hull City	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6	W W
4	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	7:5	2	6	W W
5	Brentford	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4	D W
6	Newcastle Home	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4	W D
7	Everton	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4	D W
8	Leeds	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4	D W
9	Brighton	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3	L W
10	Manchester United	2	1	0	1	5:4	1	3	W L
11	Sunderland	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3	W L
12	Ipswich	2	1	0	1	4:6	-2	3	L W
13	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2	D D
14	Bournemouth Away	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1	D L
15	Nottingham Forest	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1	D L
16	Fulham	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0	L L
17	Coventry	2	0	0	2	0:4	-4	0	L L
18	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0	L L
19	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0	L L
20	Tottenham	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0	L L

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