Newcastle
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.4
Aston Villa1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle
WWDLW
50 GF / 35 GA
Aston Villa
WLDWL
46 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
17
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
17
5.13
Shots on Goal
4.7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
30 matches
Aston Villa
30 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 20 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 50 | Goals For | 46 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.7 |
| 13.37 | Total Shots | 12.27 |
| 6.27 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 53% | Ball Possession | 54.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 6 times, Aston Villa won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from Newcastle's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-3-3 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 6, draws 4, Aston Villa wins 5
Stats
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
7
7
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Newcastle
Formation
Aston Villa
N. Pope
K. Trippier
M. Thiaw
S. Botman
L. Hall
L. Miley
S. Tonali
Joelinton
H. Barnes
Y. Wissa
A. Gordon
E. Martinez
M. Cash
E. Konsa
P. Torres
I. Maatsen
A. Onana
Y. Tielemans
J. Sancho
M. Rogers
E. Buendia
O. Watkins
Newcastle
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
N. Pope
G
2
K. Trippier
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
4
S. Botman
D
3
L. Hall
D
67
L. Miley
M
8
S. Tonali
M
↓ 84'
7
Joelinton
M
↓ 48'
🟨 27'
11
H. Barnes
F
9
Y. Wissa
F
↓ 62'
10
A. Gordon
F
↓ 63'
Substitutes
32
A. Ramsdale
G
33
D. Burn
D
28
J. Willock
M
↑ 84'
41
J. Ramsey
M
↑ 48'
27
N. Woltemade
F
↑ 62'
61
L. Shahar
D
20
A. Elanga
F
↑ 63'
18
W. Osula
F
37
A. Murphy
D
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
2
M. Cash
D
4
E. Konsa
D
14
P. Torres
D
↓ 75'
22
I. Maatsen
D
🟨 90+2'
24
A. Onana
M
↓ 89'
8
Y. Tielemans
M
↓ 74'
19
J. Sancho
M
↓ 59'
27
M. Rogers
M
🎯 19'
10
E. Buendia
M
⚽ 19'
↓ 75'
11
O. Watkins
F
⚽ 88'
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
3
V. Lindelof
D
↑ 89'
5
T. Mings
D
↑ 75'
31
L. Bailey
M
↑ 59'
9
H. Elliott
M
26
L. Bogarde
M
↑ 74'
12
L. Digne
D
🎯 88'
↑ 75'
🟨 79'
29
E. Guessand
F
53
G. Hemmings
M
Last matches: Newcastle
12.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Everton
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Valencia
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bristol City
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
H2H: Newcastle vs Aston Villa
14.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
W
25.01.26
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0
2
L
16.08.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
4
1
L
26.12.24
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
0
W
30.01.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
W
12.08.23
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
5
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
3
D
15.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
3
0
L
29.10.22
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
4
0
W
13.02.22
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
0
W
21.08.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
L
12.03.21
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
1
D
23.01.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
L
24.06.20
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
1
D
Last matches: Newcastle
12.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Everton
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brentford
2
3
L
21.01.26
UEF
Newcastle
PSV Eindhoven
3
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Newcastle
Bournemouth
2
2
D
07.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Leeds
4
3
W
04.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Burnley
2
1
W
02.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
2
D
22.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
2
1
W
H2H at home: Newcastle
25.01.26
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0
2
L
26.12.24
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
0
W
12.08.23
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
5
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
3
D
29.10.22
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
4
0
W
13.02.22
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
0
W
12.03.21
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
1
D
24.06.20
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
1
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
4
L
H2H away: Aston Villa
25.01.26
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0
2
W
26.12.24
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
0
L
12.08.23
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
5
1
L
23.07.23
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
3
D
29.10.22
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
4
0
L
13.02.22
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
0
L
12.03.21
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
1
D
24.06.20
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
1
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Away
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Home
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship