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19.01.2027 08:00
McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Jets Win 0%
Draw 0%
Melbourne City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle Jets1.44
Melbourne City2.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
L D D L L
7 GF / 18 GA
Melbourne City Melbourne City
D L W L
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1
3.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
1
2.8
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 5 matches
Melbourne City Melbourne City 4 matches
Newcastle Jets Statistic Melbourne City
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 2
7 Goals For 4
18 Goals Against 6
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
3.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 1
4 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
2.8 Shots On Goal 4
10.2 Total Shots 15.5
5.6 Corners 4
50.2% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle Jets won 5 times, Melbourne City won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from Newcastle Jets's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Newcastle Jets 4-1-4-1 / Melbourne City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle Jets wins 5, draws 2, Melbourne City wins 8

Standings

A-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 4:1 3 6
W W
2 2 1 1 0 5:2 3 4
W D
3 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
4 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
5 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
6 2 1 0 1 5:6 -1 3
L W
7 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
8 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
9 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
L D
10 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
11 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
12 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)