New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
74.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York Red Bulls
32 matches
St. Louis City
30 matches
| New York Red Bulls | Statistic | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 15 | Losses | 8 |
| 47 | Goals For | 49 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.62 | Shots On Goal | 4.81 |
| 13.15 | Total Shots | 13.73 |
| 5.73 | Corners | 5.62 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights St. Louis City's more proactive style and New York Red Bulls's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York Red Bulls expected to line up in 4-3-3 and St. Louis City in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St. Louis City. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
New York Red Bulls are currently 10 in the standings with 30 points from 25 matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 33:48 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals), Julian Hall (5 goals), Ronald Donkor (2 goals), with creative support from Julian Hall (3 assists), Ronald Donkor (3 assists), Emil Forsberg (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
St. Louis City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 41 points after 25 outings. With 11 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 42:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Becher (3 goals), Marcel Hartel (3 goals), T. Totland (2 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), Marcel Hartel (3 assists), T. Totland (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1 times, St. Louis City won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
Home
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|