Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York Red Bulls
26 matches
Philadelphia Union
29 matches
| New York Red Bulls | Statistic | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 13 |
| 43 | Goals For | 52 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 2.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.8 | Shots On Goal | 4.92 |
| 13.35 | Total Shots | 15.92 |
| 5.75 | Corners | 6.04 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Philadelphia Union look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Philadelphia Union. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York Red Bulls expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control.
With 25 points from 20 games and a place of 8, New York Red Bulls still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 30:42, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals), Julian Hall (4 goals), Cade Cowell (2 goals), with creative support from Julian Hall (3 assists), Ronald Donkor (3 assists), Emil Forsberg (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Philadelphia Union are currently 13 in the standings with 20 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, while the 30:37 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Milan Iloski (8 goals), Bruno Damiani (3 goals), Danley Jean Jacques (2 goals), with creative support from Frankie Westfield (3 assists), Cavan Sullivan (2 assists), Bruno Damiani (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1 times, Philadelphia Union won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:23 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
DC United
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
DC United
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
FC Nordsjaelland
Philadelphia Union
Sigma Olomouc
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 48:38 | 10 | 39 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 33 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 48:46 | 2 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 29 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
Home
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30:42 | -12 | 25 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27:33 | -6 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | -18 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Philadelphia Union
Away
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 30:37 | -7 | 20 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 20 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
D
|