🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER

01.08.2026 23:30

New York Red Bulls

3 - 2

Orlando City SC

Sports Illustrated Stadium

Referee: Filip Dujic, Canada

New York Red Bulls

Match Timeline

Orlando City SC

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 64.9%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 86%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	64.9%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	86%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	83.1%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

New York Red Bulls Win 45%

Draw 19.9%

Orlando City SC Win 35.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

New York Red Bulls2.05

Orlando City SC1.87

Recent Form (Last 5)

New York Red Bulls

WWDLW

39 GF / 50 GA

Orlando City SC

WLDWL

35 GF / 54 GA

Key Stats

1.7

Average Goals Scored

1.67

2.17

Average Goals Conceded

2.57

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.12

Shots on Goal

4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York Red Bulls 23 matches

Orlando City SC 21 matches

New York Red Bulls	Statistic	Orlando City SC
8	Wins	7
4	Draws	3
11	Losses	11
39	Goals For	35
50	Goals Against	54
1.7	Avg Goals Scored	1.67
2.17	Avg Goals Conceded	2.57
16	BTTS Yes	14
22	Over 1.5	19
17	Over 2.5	16
13	Over 3.5	13
2	Clean Sheets	2
5	Failed To Score	5
5.12	Shots On Goal	4.76
13.88	Total Shots	11.35
6.06	Corners	3.76
53.5%	Ball Possession	45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 7 times, Orlando City SC won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)

Predicted formations: New York Red Bulls 4-4-2 / Orlando City SC 4-4-2

H2H summary: New York Red Bulls wins 7, draws 4, Orlando City SC wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Nashville SC	25	16	6	3	50:21	29	54	D L D W W
2	Inter Miami	25	12	9	4	61:46	15	45	D D D W L
3	New England Revolution	25	13	4	8	41:31	10	43	W W L W D
4	Charlotte	25	11	7	7	45:36	9	40	D W D W W
5	Chicago Fire	24	11	6	7	45:35	10	39	L D D D D
6	Orlando City SC Away	25	10	4	11	44:56	-12	34	W W W D W
7	Philadelphia Union	25	9	6	10	46:39	7	33	W W W W D
8	New York City FC	25	8	8	9	39:33	6	32	W L D D D
9	FC Cincinnati	24	8	8	8	52:59	-7	32	D L L D W
10	New York Red Bulls Home	25	8	6	11	33:48	-15	30	W L D L D
11	DC United	24	6	11	7	30:37	-7	29	D W D L L
12	Toronto FC	25	6	11	8	38:46	-8	29	L W D D W
13	Columbus Crew	25	6	5	14	35:42	-7	23	L L W L L
14	Atlanta United FC	25	6	5	14	29:43	-14	23	D L D L W
15	CF Montreal	25	5	6	14	31:51	-20	21	L L L L D

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