Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York Red Bulls
19 matches
New York City FC
18 matches
| New York Red Bulls | Statistic | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 35 | Goals For | 29 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.15 | Shots On Goal | 5.08 |
| 13.85 | Total Shots | 11.62 |
| 6.23 | Corners | 3.69 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 57.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and New York City FC's more proactive style and New York Red Bulls's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward New York City FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New York City FC.
With 15 points from 12 games and a place of 9, New York Red Bulls still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Hall (6 goals), J. Ruvalcaba (4 goals), E. M. Choupo-Moting (2 goals), with creative support from Ronald Donkor (4 assists), E. Forsberg (3 assists), J. Hall (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 15 points from 12 games and a place of 7, New York City FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 22:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Mercau (8 goals), H. Wolf (5 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (6 assists), A. Ojeda (3 assists), N. Mercau (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 6 times, New York City FC won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
New York Red Bulls
5
5
3
5
4
4
Lineups
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
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Sporting Kansas City
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Columbus Crew
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Chicago Fire
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FC Dallas
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FC Cincinnati
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DC United
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CF Montreal
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Inter Miami
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FC Cincinnati
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Charlotte
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Toronto FC
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CF Montreal
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New England Revolution
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Orlando City SC
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Houston Dynamo
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Atlanta United FC
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FC Dallas
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Hartford Athletic
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St. Louis City
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
DC United
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC