🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Referee: J. Marrufo
New York Red Bulls
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Michael Collodi
FC Dallas
54'
P. Musa · Assist: R. Binyamin
FC Dallas
🔄
66'
C. Cowell ↔ R. Mosquera
New York Red Bulls
🔄
66'
E. Forsberg ↔ N. Benedetti
New York Red Bulls
🔄
66'
J. Mina ↔ J. Marshall-Rutty
New York Red Bulls
🔄
68'
R. Binyamin ↔ S. Ibeagha
FC Dallas
🔄
68'
P. Musa ↔ C. Cappis
FC Dallas
🔄
76'
R. Donkor ↔ M. Sofo
New York Red Bulls
🔄
80'
S. Moreno ↔ S. Sarver
FC Dallas
🔄
80'
J. Valiente ↔ L. Farrington
FC Dallas
🔄
83'
J. Hall ↔ E. M. Choupo-Moting
New York Red Bulls
88'
S. Sarver · Assist: L. Farrington
FC Dallas
🟨
89'
Sam Sarver
FC Dallas
🔄
90+4'
Kaick ↔ C. Swann
FC Dallas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
New York Red Bulls Win 34.8%
Draw 17%
FC Dallas Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York Red Bulls1.57
FC Dallas2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WWDLW
29 GF / 38 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
26 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.86
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
11
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
9
5.7
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 16 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 14 matches
New York Red Bulls Statistic FC Dallas
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
8 Losses 4
29 Goals For 26
38 Goals Against 17
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
11 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 10
13 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
5.7 Shots On Goal 4.7
14.9 Total Shots 12.9
6.7 Corners 4.6
57.5% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with FC Dallas's more proactive style and New York Red Bulls's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Dallas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

New York Red Bulls sit 11 with 12 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Hall (6 goals), J. Ruvalcaba (3 goals), K. Smith (2 goals), with creative support from Ronald Donkor (3 assists), J. Hall (2 assists), A. Mehmeti (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas sit 8 with 13 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Musa (9 goals), L. Farrington (4 goals), L. Deedson (1 goals), with creative support from J. Valiente (2 assists), P. Musa (1 assists), L. Farrington (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 6 times, FC Dallas won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83%)
Predicted formations: New York Red Bulls 3-4-2-1 / FC Dallas 3-4-3
Missing players: New York Red Bulls 3, FC Dallas 5
H2H summary: New York Red Bulls wins 6, draws 4, FC Dallas wins 3
Stats
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas FC Dallas
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
8 Corner Kicks 4
6 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 4
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
566 Total passes 419
480 Passes accurate 322
0.85 expected_goals 1.63
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Dallas
Formation
New York Red Bulls
M. Collodi
M. Collodi
S. Moore
S. Moore
O. Urhoghide
O. Urhoghide
N. Norris
N. Norris
H. Johansson
H. Johansson
Kaick
Kaick
Ramiro
Ramiro
R. Binyamin
🎯
R. Binyamin
J. Valiente
J. Valiente
S. Moreno
S. Moreno
P. Musa
P. Musa
E. Horvath
E. Horvath
J. Mina
J. Mina
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
T. Parker
T. Parker
M. Dos Santos
M. Dos Santos
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
E. Forsberg
E. Forsberg
C. Cowell
C. Cowell
J. Hall
J. Hall
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
FC Dallas 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
30
M. Collodi
🟨 31'
G
18
S. Moore
D
3
O. Urhoghide
D
32
N. Norris
D
14
H. Johansson
M
55
Kaick
↓ 90+4'
M
17
Ramiro
M
6
R. Binyamin
🎯 54' ↓ 68'
M
21
J. Valiente
↓ 80'
F
10
S. Moreno
↓ 80'
F
9
P. Musa
⚽ 54' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
40
J. Sirois
G
25
S. Ibeagha
↑ 68'
D
12
C. Cappis
↑ 68'
M
8
P. Delgado
M
28
S. Sarver
⚽ 88' ↑ 80' 🟨 89'
F
23
L. Farrington
🎯 88' ↑ 80'
F
5
L. Abubakar
D
16
N. Simmonds
F
27
C. Swann
↑ 90+4'
M
New York Red Bulls 4-3-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
34
E. Horvath
G
20
J. Mina
↓ 66'
D
12
D. Nealis
D
26
T. Parker
D
56
M. Dos Santos
D
48
R. Donkor
↓ 76'
M
15
A. Mehmeti
M
10
E. Forsberg
↓ 66'
M
7
C. Cowell
↓ 66'
F
16
J. Hall
↓ 83'
F
11
J. Ruvalcaba
F
Substitutes
77
J. McCarthy
G
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
↑ 83'
F
4
G. Berggren
M
6
R. Voloder
D
79
R. Mosquera
↑ 66'
F
5
O. Valencia
D
37
M. Sofo
↑ 76'
F
39
N. Benedetti
↑ 66'
M
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
↑ 66'
D
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
22.07.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
1
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
09.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
Last matches: FC Dallas
23.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
14.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
2
D
12.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
4
3
W
15.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Toronto FC
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Portimonense
4
0
W
H2H: New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
02.05.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
21.05.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
2
2
D
10.03.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
2
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
1
3
W
23.06.18
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
3
0
W
03.09.17
H2H
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
29.04.16
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
4
0
W
16.05.15
H2H
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
0
0
D
04.05.14
H2H
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
0
1
W
22.09.13
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
1
0
W
11.03.12
H2H
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
1
L
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
22.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
1
3
L
H2H at home: New York Red Bulls
02.05.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
21.05.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
2
2
D
10.03.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
2
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
0
D
23.06.18
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
3
0
W
29.04.16
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
4
0
W
22.09.13
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Dallas
23.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Portimonense
4
0
W
H2H away: FC Dallas
02.05.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
W
07.02.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
W
21.05.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
2
2
D
10.03.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
2
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
0
D
23.06.18
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
3
0
L
29.04.16
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
4
0
L
22.09.13
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
1
0
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 3 1 33:11 22 39
W W W W W
2 16 10 4 2 42:30 12 34
W W W W W
3 15 8 2 5 29:19 10 26
L W W W L
4 15 8 2 5 22:18 4 26
D L W L W
5 16 6 5 5 40:40 0 23
W W D L D
6 16 6 4 6 27:22 5 22
W L D W W
7 16 6 4 6 26:25 1 22
D W W L D
8 16 6 4 6 26:35 -9 22
L W D W W
9 16 4 7 5 22:26 -4 19
D D D L D
10 16 5 2 9 27:44 -17 17
W L D W L
11 16 4 4 8 22:25 -3 16
L W D L L
12 16 3 7 6 22:29 -7 16
D D L L L
13 16 4 3 9 22:32 -10 15
L D D L D
14 16 3 3 10 16:26 -10 12
D L L D L
15 16 2 4 10 21:31 -10 10
W L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

New York Red Bulls 3 missing
-
J. Che
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Marcucci
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Harper
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
FC Dallas 5 missing
-
Geovane Jesus
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. A. Julio Santos
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
B. Kamungo
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
P. Musa
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
L. Farrington
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT