🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
13.05.2026 23:30
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA
New York Red Bulls
Match Timeline
Columbus Crew
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
J. Hall · Assist: C. Cowell
New York Red Bulls
22'
M. Arfsten · Assist: H. Picard
Columbus Crew
40'
J. Hall · Assist: C. Cowell
New York Red Bulls
VAR
42'
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
🟨
45+3'
Taha Habroune
Columbus Crew
🔄
46'
M. Dos Santos ↔ O. Valencia
New York Red Bulls
🔄
60'
D. Gazdag ↔ D. Rossi
Columbus Crew
🔄
60'
O. Presthus ↔ M. Farsi
Columbus Crew
64'
D. Rossi
Columbus Crew
🔄
65'
E. Forsberg ↔ G. Berggren
New York Red Bulls
🔄
65'
D. Nealis ↔ J. Che
New York Red Bulls
🔄
65'
C. Cowell ↔ R. Mosquera
New York Red Bulls
🟨
68'
Jorge Ruvalcaba
New York Red Bulls
🟨
71'
Rudy Camacho
Columbus Crew
78'
J. Hall
New York Red Bulls
🟨
83'
Omar Valencia
New York Red Bulls
🔄
85'
J. Hall ↔ R. Mitchell
New York Red Bulls
🔄
85'
T. Habroune ↔ N. Akhundzade
Columbus Crew
🔄
85'
S. Bangoura ↔ A. Sejdic
Columbus Crew
🟨
90+7'
Rafael Mosquera
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
New York Red Bulls Win 49.2%
Draw 15.2%
Columbus Crew Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York Red Bulls1.67
Columbus Crew1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WWDLW
32 GF / 41 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
9
5.08
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 18 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 14 matches
New York Red Bulls Statistic Columbus Crew
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 7
32 Goals For 20
41 Goals Against 21
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
5.08 Shots On Goal 4.33
13.92 Total Shots 12.17
6.5 Corners 6.08
55.8% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Columbus Crew. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

New York Red Bulls sit 9 with 15 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Hall (6 goals), J. Ruvalcaba (4 goals), E. M. Choupo-Moting (2 goals), with creative support from Ronald Donkor (4 assists), E. Forsberg (3 assists), J. Hall (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Marcucci, C. Harper unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Columbus Crew Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 12, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 16:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on W. Abou Ali (5 goals), D. Rossi (4 goals), M. Arfsten (3 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (4 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), W. Abou Ali (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Amundsen, W. Abou Ali, J. Thiare, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 5 times, Columbus Crew won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: New York Red Bulls 4-4-2 / Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Missing players: New York Red Bulls 2, Columbus Crew 3
H2H summary: New York Red Bulls wins 5, draws 3, Columbus Crew wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)