New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
49.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York Red Bulls
26 matches
Chicago Fire
25 matches
| New York Red Bulls | Statistic | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 13 | Losses | 7 |
| 43 | Goals For | 45 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 2.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.95 | Shots On Goal | 4.95 |
| 13.9 | Total Shots | 13.74 |
| 6.1 | Corners | 4.26 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 51.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Chicago Fire's more proactive style and New York Red Bulls's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chicago Fire. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York Red Bulls expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Chicago Fire in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
So far, New York Red Bulls have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 25 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 29:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals), Julian Hall (4 goals), Cade Cowell (2 goals), with creative support from Julian Hall (3 assists), Ronald Donkor (3 assists), Emil Forsberg (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Chicago Fire come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 29 points after 17 matches. The return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 32:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 assists), Jonathan Bamba (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 4 times, Chicago Fire won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Chicago Fire
Away
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
Home
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|