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17.10.2026 23:30
Yankee Stadium
Referee: R. Mendoza
New York City FC
Match Timeline
Los Angeles FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Hannes Wolf
New York City FC
🟨
44'
Aiden O'Neill
New York City FC
⚽
45'
L. Walta
Los Angeles FC
🟨
54'
Agustin Ojeda
New York City FC
🔄
58'
Igor Jesus ↔ M. Choiniere
Los Angeles FC
⚽
59'
A. Perea · Assist: N. Mercau
New York City FC
🔄
66'
R. Hollingshead ↔ S. Palencia
Los Angeles FC
🔄
66'
J. Shaffelburg ↔ A. Sieb
Los Angeles FC
🔄
68'
Luighi ↔ B. Traore
New York City FC
🔄
68'
A. Ojeda ↔ Talles Magno
New York City FC
🔄
85'
A. Long ↔ R. Porteous
Los Angeles FC
🔄
85'
M. Delgado ↔ S. Vasquez
Los Angeles FC

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
83.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
New York City FC Win 16.8%
Draw 40.1%
Los Angeles FC Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York City FC1.27
Los Angeles FC1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York City FC New York City FC
L L D L W
5 GF / 7 GA
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
W D L D L
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
22
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
22
4.66
Shots on Goal
4.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York City FC New York City FC 34 matches
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 42 matches
New York City FC Statistic Los Angeles FC
9 Wins 19
11 Draws 13
14 Losses 10
48 Goals For 70
47 Goals Against 44
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
22 BTTS Yes 21
30 Over 1.5 31
17 Over 2.5 22
8 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 17
7 Failed To Score 7
4.66 Shots On Goal 4.79
11.62 Total Shots 13.92
3.83 Corners 5.87
53.6% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Los Angeles FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York City FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Los Angeles FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles FC having the stronger overall control.

New York City FC Analysis

So far, New York City FC have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 33 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 41:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Fernández Mercau (10 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), H. Wolf (3 goals), with creative support from A. Ojeda (7 assists), N. Fernández Mercau (4 assists), H. Wolf (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

Los Angeles FC are currently 6 in the standings with 41 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 43:30 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Denis Bouanga (12 goals), Son Heung-min (5 goals), David Martínez Morales (4 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-min (8 assists), Denis Bouanga (3 assists), Jacob Shaffelburg (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 1 times, Los Angeles FC won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from New York City FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: New York City FC 4-2-3-1 / Los Angeles FC 4-3-3
Missing players: New York City FC 5, Los Angeles FC 3
H2H summary: New York City FC wins 1, draws 5, Los Angeles FC wins 1

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 23 8 3 71:25 46 77
W W D W D
2 34 16 12 6 80:59 21 60
D W D L W
3 34 18 4 12 55:47 8 58
L L W W W
4 34 16 7 11 64:54 10 55
L W D W L
5 34 15 9 10 66:51 15 54
D W W L D
6 34 14 8 12 66:52 14 50
W L D L D
7 34 14 5 15 59:52 7 47
W W W W W
8 34 13 7 14 63:78 -15 46
W L D D W
9 34 12 10 12 67:75 -8 46
L W D W W
10 34 12 6 16 48:62 -14 42
W L L W L
11 34 10 12 12 49:45 4 42
W D W D D
12 34 9 12 13 52:67 -15 39
L L W L W
13 34 9 6 19 43:60 -17 33
L W L L L
14 34 7 12 15 39:61 -22 33
L L L L L
15 34 6 8 20 37:69 -32 26
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)