🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Yankee Stadium
Referee: T. Penso
New York City FC
Match Timeline
Charlotte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Brandt Bronico
Charlotte
🟨
17'
Raul Gustavo
New York City FC
🔄
46'
T. Ream ↔ A. Privett
Charlotte
54'
I. Toklomati
Charlotte
🔄
67'
A. Ojeda ↔ Talles Magno
New York City FC
🟨
68'
Andrew Privett
Charlotte
🔄
69'
R. Aloko ↔ K. A. Calderon Vargas
Charlotte
🔄
77'
Raul Gustavo ↔ K. Parks
New York City FC
🔄
77'
I. Toklomati ↔ A. Goodwin
Charlotte
🔄
77'
B. Bronico ↔ L. de la Torre
Charlotte
🟨
81'
Nathan Byrne
Charlotte
🟨
84'
Kristijan Kahlina
Charlotte
🟨
85'
Keaton Parks
New York City FC
🔄
86'
K. Trewin ↔ S. Reid
New York City FC
🔄
90+3'
P. Biel ↔ D. Diani
Charlotte
90'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
Charlotte
90'
N. Mercau · Assist: H. Wolf
New York City FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.7%
-
Probability Distribution
New York City FC Win 73.2%
Draw 11.8%
Charlotte Win 15%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York City FC1.44
Charlotte1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York City FC New York City FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 16 GA
Charlotte Charlotte
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
8
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
5.29
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York City FC New York City FC 12 matches
Charlotte Charlotte 11 matches
New York City FC Statistic Charlotte
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
20 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 12
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
5.29 Shots On Goal 5.43
12.14 Total Shots 11.43
4.14 Corners 4.57
56% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. New York City FC appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Charlotte. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Charlotte. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

New York City FC Analysis

New York City FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 11 points after 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Mercau (5 goals), A. Ojeda (2 goals), H. Wolf (2 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (5 assists), A. Ojeda (1 assists), Tayvon Gray (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Martinez, A. Perea, D. Baiera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 11 points after 7 matches. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Biel (4 goals), A. Goodwin (3 goals), Idan Toklomati Jorno (2 goals), with creative support from P. Biel (2 assists), L. Abada (2 assists), Idan Toklomati Jorno (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 5 times, Charlotte won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from New York City FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: New York City FC 4-2-3-1 / Charlotte 4-2-3-1
Missing players: New York City FC 4, Charlotte 0
H2H summary: New York City FC wins 5, draws 2, Charlotte wins 6
Stats
New York City FC New York City FC
Charlotte Charlotte
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 1
7 Fouls 7
4 Offsides 0
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 1
7 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
689 Total passes 401
613 Passes accurate 324
1.76 expected_goals 1.04
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

New York City FC
Formation
Charlotte
M. Freese
M. Freese
T. Gray
T. Gray
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
Raul Gustavo
Raul Gustavo
K. O'Toole
K. O'Toole
K. Trewin
K. Trewin
A. O'Neill
A. O'Neill
A. Ojeda
A. Ojeda
M. Moralez
M. Moralez
H. Wolf
🎯
H. Wolf
N. Mercau
N. Mercau
K. Kahlina
K. Kahlina
N. Byrne
N. Byrne
M. Agyemang
M. Agyemang
T. Ream
T. Ream
H. Toffolo
H. Toffolo
A. Westwood
A. Westwood
B. Bronico
B. Bronico
R. Aloko
R. Aloko
P. Biel
P. Biel
W. Zaha
W. Zaha
I. Toklomati
I. Toklomati
New York City FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
49
M. Freese
G
24
T. Gray
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
34
Raul Gustavo
↓ 77' 🟨 17'
D
22
K. O'Toole
D
5
K. Trewin
↓ 86'
M
21
A. O'Neill
M
26
A. Ojeda
↓ 67'
M
10
M. Moralez
M
17
H. Wolf
🎯 90'
M
7
N. Mercau
⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
30
T. Romero
G
55
K. Parks
↑ 77' 🟨 85'
M
29
M. Carrizo
M
19
S. Tanasijevic
D
11
Talles Magno
↑ 67'
F
32
J. Shore
M
2
N. Cavallo
D
99
S. Reid
↑ 86'
F
15
K. Pierre
M
Charlotte 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
K. Kahlina
🟨 84'
G
14
N. Byrne
🟨 81'
D
44
M. Agyemang
3
T. Ream
↓ 46'
D
15
H. Toffolo
D
8
A. Westwood
M
13
B. Bronico
↓ 77' 🟨 3'
M
37
R. Aloko
↓ 69'
M
16
P. Biel
↓ 90+3'
M
10
W. Zaha
M
9
I. Toklomati
⚽ 54' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
21
T. Miller
G
23
D. Schnegg
D
7
A. Goodwin
↑ 77'
F
18
K. A. Calderon Vargas
⚽ 90' ↑ 69'
F
25
T. Smalls
F
17
L. de la Torre
↑ 77'
M
11
L. Abada
F
28
D. Diani
↑ 90+3'
M
4
A. Privett
↑ 46' 🟨 68'
D
Last matches: New York City FC
24.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Nashville SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
3
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
DC United
0
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
CF Montreal
0
1
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
4
4
D
11.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
St. Louis City
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Inter Miami
2
3
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
5
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
23.02.26
Maj
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
01.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Austin
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
2
D
Last matches: Charlotte
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
22.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
3
1
W
H2H: New York City FC vs Charlotte
13.05.26
H2H
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
W
18.04.26
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
Charlotte
New York City FC
1
3
W
01.11.25
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
0
0
D
28.10.25
H2H
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
W
20.09.25
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
2
0
W
12.07.25
H2H
Charlotte
New York City FC
2
0
L
27.04.24
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
2
1
W
25.02.24
H2H
Charlotte
New York City FC
1
0
L
05.07.23
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
1
D
06.05.23
H2H
Charlotte
New York City FC
3
2
L
10.09.22
H2H
Charlotte
New York City FC
1
0
L
18.08.22
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
3
L
Last matches: New York City FC
10.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
3
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
DC United
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
4
4
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
St. Louis City
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Inter Miami
2
3
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
5
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Austin
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
2
D
H2H at home: New York City FC
18.04.26
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
01.11.25
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
0
0
D
20.09.25
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
2
0
W
27.04.24
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
2
1
W
05.07.23
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
1
D
18.08.22
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
3
L
Last matches: Charlotte
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
22.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
4
L
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
H2H away: Charlotte
18.04.26
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
2
W
01.11.25
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
0
0
D
20.09.25
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
2
0
L
27.04.24
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
2
1
L
05.07.23
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
1
D
18.08.22
H2H
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
3
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D

Missing Players

New York City FC 4 missing
-
A. Martinez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Perea
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
D. Baiera
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Thiago Martins
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
Charlotte 0 missing
No missing players data