Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.7%
|
- |
New York City FC
Charlotte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York City FC
12 matches
Charlotte
11 matches
| New York City FC | Statistic | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 20 | Goals For | 19 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.29 | Shots On Goal | 5.43 |
| 12.14 | Total Shots | 11.43 |
| 4.14 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 50.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. New York City FC appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Charlotte. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Charlotte. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
New York City FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 11 points after 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Mercau (5 goals), A. Ojeda (2 goals), H. Wolf (2 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (5 assists), A. Ojeda (1 assists), Tayvon Gray (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Martinez, A. Perea, D. Baiera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Charlotte come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 11 points after 7 matches. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Biel (4 goals), A. Goodwin (3 goals), Idan Toklomati Jorno (2 goals), with creative support from P. Biel (2 assists), L. Abada (2 assists), Idan Toklomati Jorno (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 5 times, Charlotte won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from New York City FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.
New York City FC
7
5
8
1
7
1
Lineups
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Austin
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 22 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 8 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Charlotte
Away
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 24 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
New York City FC
Home
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | -22 | 11 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|