🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.04.2026 23:30
Citi Field
Referee: Tori Penso, USA
New York City FC
Match Timeline
Charlotte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Brandt Bronico
Charlotte
🟨
17'
Raul Gustavo
New York City FC
🔄
46'
T. Ream ↔ A. Privett
Charlotte
54'
I. Toklomati
Charlotte
🔄
67'
A. Ojeda ↔ Talles Magno
New York City FC
🟨
68'
Andrew Privett
Charlotte
🔄
69'
R. Aloko ↔ K. A. Calderon Vargas
Charlotte
🔄
77'
Raul Gustavo ↔ K. Parks
New York City FC
🔄
77'
I. Toklomati ↔ A. Goodwin
Charlotte
🔄
77'
B. Bronico ↔ L. de la Torre
Charlotte
🟨
81'
Nathan Byrne
Charlotte
🟨
84'
Kristijan Kahlina
Charlotte
🟨
85'
Keaton Parks
New York City FC
🔄
86'
K. Trewin ↔ S. Reid
New York City FC
🔄
90+3'
P. Biel ↔ D. Diani
Charlotte
90'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
Charlotte
90'
N. Mercau · Assist: H. Wolf
New York City FC

New York City FC vs Charlotte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.7%
-
Probability Distribution
New York City FC Win 73.2%
Draw 11.8%
Charlotte Win 15%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York City FC1.44
Charlotte1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York City FC New York City FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 16 GA
Charlotte Charlotte
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
8
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
5.29
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York City FC New York City FC 12 matches
Charlotte Charlotte 11 matches
New York City FC Statistic Charlotte
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
20 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 12
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
5.29 Shots On Goal 5.43
12.14 Total Shots 11.43
4.14 Corners 4.57
56% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. New York City FC appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Charlotte. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Charlotte. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

New York City FC Analysis

New York City FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 11 points after 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Mercau (5 goals), A. Ojeda (2 goals), H. Wolf (2 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (5 assists), A. Ojeda (1 assists), Tayvon Gray (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Martinez, A. Perea, D. Baiera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 11 points after 7 matches. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Biel (4 goals), A. Goodwin (3 goals), Idan Toklomati Jorno (2 goals), with creative support from P. Biel (2 assists), L. Abada (2 assists), Idan Toklomati Jorno (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 5 times, Charlotte won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from New York City FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: New York City FC 4-2-3-1 / Charlotte 4-2-3-1
Missing players: New York City FC 4, Charlotte 0
H2H summary: New York City FC wins 5, draws 2, Charlotte wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 4 2 47:17 30 52
W W W W D
2 22 12 6 4 56:41 15 42
W L D L D
3 21 11 4 6 39:28 11 37
D D W W W
4 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D W L L
5 22 10 5 7 40:32 8 35
W W D W L
6 22 8 7 7 49:51 -2 31
L D W D W
7 22 7 7 8 36:31 5 28
D D L L D
8 22 7 5 10 32:46 -14 26
L D L L W
9 22 7 4 11 37:54 -17 25
D W L D L
10 22 5 10 7 32:38 -6 25
D W D W D
11 22 5 10 7 28:36 -8 25
D L L D D
12 22 6 6 10 34:39 -5 24
W D D W W
13 22 6 3 13 25:38 -13 21
L W W W L
14 22 5 6 11 30:46 -16 21
L D W D D
15 22 5 5 12 31:39 -8 20
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)