🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
19.09.2026 23:30
Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 48.1%
Draw 14.4%
Orlando City SC Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution2.05
Orlando City SC1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WWDLW
57 GF / 38 GA
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
WLDWL
51 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
2.28
20
BTTS Yes
20
21
Over 2.5
22
4.68
Shots on Goal
4.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 30 matches
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 29 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Orlando City SC
15 Wins 11
5 Draws 5
10 Losses 13
57 Goals For 51
38 Goals Against 66
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 2.28
20 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 22
9 Over 3.5 16
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
4.68 Shots On Goal 4.96
12.2 Total Shots 12.16
4.28 Corners 4.08
50.2% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights New England Revolution's more proactive style and Orlando City SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Orlando City SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orlando City SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Orlando City SC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 40 points after 24 outings. With 12 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 39:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Carles Gil (9 goals), D. Turgeman (3 goals), P. Miller (2 goals), with creative support from Carles Gil (3 assists), D. Turgeman (3 assists), M. Polster (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Orlando City SC Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Orlando City SC have collected 31 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 41:56 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Ojeda (9 goals), A. Griezmann (5 goals), T. Spicer (3 goals), with creative support from Justin Ellis (6 assists), E. Atuesta (3 assists), Adrián Marín (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 5 times, Orlando City SC won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:31 from New England Revolution's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-2-3-1 / Orlando City SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 5, draws 4, Orlando City SC wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)