🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
13.05.2026 23:30
Gillette Stadium
Referee: Sergii Demianchuk, USA
New England Revolution
Match Timeline
Nashville SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Andy Najar
Nashville SC
34'
B. Acosta · Assist: C. Espinoza
Nashville SC
🟨
40'
Matthew Corcoran
Nashville SC
41'
W. Madrigal
Nashville SC
🔄
50'
A. Najar ↔ D. Lovitz
Nashville SC
🟨
56'
Brooklyn Raines
New England Revolution
🔄
69'
M. Polster ↔ D. Fagundez
New England Revolution
74'
B. Acosta · Assist: C. Espinoza
Nashville SC
🔄
75'
M. Corcoran ↔ C. Brunet
Nashville SC
🔄
76'
A. Qasem ↔ A. Muyl
Nashville SC
🔄
78'
D. Turgeman ↔ M. Zambrano
New England Revolution
🔄
78'
G. Yow ↔ M. Fry
New England Revolution
🟨
83'
Daniel Lovitz
Nashville SC
🔄
85'
B. Raines ↔ J. Yueill
New England Revolution
🔄
85'
C. Gil ↔ E. Klein
New England Revolution
🔄
86'
R. Baker-Whiting ↔ J. Bauer
Nashville SC
🔄
86'
H. Mukhtar ↔ W. Pacius
Nashville SC
🟨
90'
Alhassan Yusuf
New England Revolution

New England Revolution vs Nashville SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 48.3%
Draw 8%
Nashville SC Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution1.63
Nashville SC1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WWDLW
36 GF / 20 GA
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WLDWL
39 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
11
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
10
4
Shots on Goal
4.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 16 matches
Nashville SC Nashville SC 23 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Nashville SC
9 Wins 12
2 Draws 7
5 Losses 4
36 Goals For 39
20 Goals Against 16
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
11 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 11
1 Failed To Score 7
4 Shots On Goal 4.58
9.91 Total Shots 11.84
3.09 Corners 4.58
47.9% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Nashville SC seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nashville SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Nashville SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nashville SC having the stronger overall control. New England Revolution come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

New England Revolution Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 22 points from 11 games, New England Revolution bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 20:13, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Carles Gil (4 goals), P. Miller (3 goals), A. Yusuf (2 goals), with creative support from Luca Langoni (6 assists), Carles Gil (3 assists), Dor Turgeman (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with D. Turgeman, I. Feingold unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Nashville SC Analysis

Nashville SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 24 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 23:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on S. Surridge (9 goals), W. Madrigal (4 goals), C. Espinoza (3 goals), with creative support from C. Espinoza (3 assists), H. Mukhtar (3 assists), P. Yazbek (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without C. Applewhite, S. Surridge, E. Tagseth, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 5 times, Nashville SC won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from New England Revolution's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-3-3 / Nashville SC 4-4-2
Missing players: New England Revolution 2, Nashville SC 4
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 5, draws 5, Nashville SC wins 5

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)