🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
16.05.2026 23:30
Gillette Stadium
Referee: Rosendo Mendoza, USA
New England Revolution
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
3'
Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
5'
C. Gil
New England Revolution
26'
K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
49'
L. Langoni · Assist: D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
🟨
70'
Brooklyn Raines
New England Revolution
🟨
71'
Nicolás Romero
Minnesota United FC
🔄
71'
L. Langoni ↔ M. Polster
New England Revolution
🔄
72'
N. Romero ↔ D. Padelford
Minnesota United FC
🔄
72'
M. Boxall ↔ O. Gene
Minnesota United FC
🔄
72'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Dieng
Minnesota United FC
🔄
81'
B. Ceballos ↔ G. Yow
New England Revolution
🔄
83'
N. Triantis ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🔄
87'
D. Turgeman ↔ T. Beason
New England Revolution
🟨
90+3'
Griffin Yow
New England Revolution

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 58.2%
Draw 2.9%
Minnesota United FC Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution1.8
Minnesota United FC1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WWDLW
36 GF / 23 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.12
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
11
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
9
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 17 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 16 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Minnesota United FC
9 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
36 Goals For 20
23 Goals Against 21
2.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
11 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 10
12 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 5
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.46
9.75 Total Shots 13.54
3.33 Corners 4.77
48.3% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and New England Revolution's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Minnesota United FC. New England Revolution come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 22 points after 11 outings. With 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:13, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Carles Gil (4 goals), P. Miller (3 goals), A. Yusuf (2 goals), with creative support from Luca Langoni (6 assists), Carles Gil (3 assists), Dor Turgeman (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 21 points after 12 outings. With 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:18, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Yeboah (7 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), J. Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from J. Pereyra (4 assists), T. Chancalay (3 assists), J. Rodriguez (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 4 times, Minnesota United FC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from New England Revolution's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.1%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-3-3 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1
Missing players: New England Revolution 3, Minnesota United FC 4
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 4, draws 1, Minnesota United FC wins 1

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)