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17.10.2026 23:30
Gillette Stadium
Referee: N. Bensalah
New England Revolution
Match Timeline
Chicago Fire
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
M. Polster · Assist: C. Gil
New England Revolution
🟨
58'
Andrew Gutman
Chicago Fire
🔄
65'
L. Langoni ↔ D. Gazdag
New England Revolution
🔄
67'
D. D'Avilla ↔ A. Mekvabishvili
Chicago Fire
🔄
67'
J. Bamba ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
🔄
68'
A. Gutman ↔ N. Allen
Chicago Fire
🔄
75'
W. Sands ↔ J. Yueill
New England Revolution
🟨
79'
Ethan Kohler
New England Revolution
🔄
79'
L. Barroso ↔ J. Gomez
Chicago Fire
🔄
86'
D. Turgeman ↔ T. Beason
New England Revolution
🔄
87'
I. Feingold ↔ C. Baker
New England Revolution

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 45%
Draw 24.4%
Chicago Fire Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution1.71
Chicago Fire1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
W L L W W
9 GF / 11 GA
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
L W W W L
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
22
BTTS Yes
24
25
Over 2.5
25
4.9
Shots on Goal
5.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 34 matches
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 35 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Chicago Fire
17 Wins 16
5 Draws 9
12 Losses 10
64 Goals For 61
48 Goals Against 51
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
22 BTTS Yes 24
29 Over 1.5 28
25 Over 2.5 25
11 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 4
4.9 Shots On Goal 5.17
12.48 Total Shots 14.1
4.86 Corners 4.31
50.7% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Chicago Fire. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Chicago Fire in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 46 points after 27 outings. The return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 45:36, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Carles Gil (11 goals), Peyton Miller (5 goals), Dor Turgeman (4 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (6 assists), Carles Gil (3 assists), M. Polster (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Placed 4 with 45 points from 27 outings, Chicago Fire continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 49:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Haile-Selassie (8 goals), Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), P. Zinckernagel (6 goals), with creative support from P. Zinckernagel (7 assists), M. Haile-Selassie (5 assists), R. Lewandowski (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 4 times, Chicago Fire won 2 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:24 from New England Revolution's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.6%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-3-3 / Chicago Fire 4-4-2
Missing players: New England Revolution 4, Chicago Fire 5
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 4, draws 9, Chicago Fire wins 2

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 23 8 3 71:25 46 77
W W D W D
2 34 16 12 6 80:59 21 60
D W D L W
3 34 18 4 12 55:47 8 58
L L W W W
4 34 16 7 11 64:54 10 55
L W D W L
5 34 15 9 10 66:51 15 54
D W W L D
6 34 14 8 12 66:52 14 50
W L D L D
7 34 14 5 15 59:52 7 47
W W W W W
8 34 13 7 14 63:78 -15 46
W L D D W
9 34 12 10 12 67:75 -8 46
L W D W W
10 34 12 6 16 48:62 -14 42
W L L W L
11 34 10 12 12 49:45 4 42
W D W D D
12 34 9 12 13 52:67 -15 39
L L W L W
13 34 9 6 19 43:60 -17 33
L W L L L
14 34 7 12 15 39:61 -22 33
L L L L L
15 34 6 8 20 37:69 -32 26
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)