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04.09.2025 18:45
De Kuip
Referee: S. Sozza
Netherlands
Match Timeline
Poland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
28'
D. Dumfries · Assist: M. Depay
Netherlands
🔄
64'
R. Lewandowski ↔ K. Swiderski
Poland
🔄
71'
P. Zielinski ↔ B. Kapustka
Poland
🔄
71'
S. Szymanski ↔ K. Grosicki
Poland
🔄
71'
N. Zalewski ↔ P. Wszolek
Poland
🔄
78'
M. Depay ↔ W. Weghorst
Netherlands
🔄
79'
X. Simons ↔ D. Malen
Netherlands
⚽
80'
M. Cash
Poland
🔄
83'
F. de Jong ↔ Q. Timber
Netherlands
🔄
84'
T. Reijnders ↔ J. Kluivert
Netherlands
🔄
84'
P. Wisniewski ↔ T. Kedziora
Poland
🔄
87'
J. P. van Hecke ↔ S. de Vrij
Netherlands

Netherlands vs Poland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 0%
Draw 0%
Poland Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands2.48
Poland1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
28 GF / 12 GA
Poland Poland
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.8
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
7.5
Shots on Goal
9.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 10 matches
Poland Poland 9 matches
Netherlands Statistic Poland
4 Wins 3
5 Draws 1
1 Losses 5
28 Goals For 13
12 Goals Against 18
2.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
7.5 Shots On Goal 9.33
22 Total Shots 25
6 Corners 6.67
62.5% Ball Possession 57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 4 times, Poland won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from Netherlands's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Netherlands 4-2-3-1 / Poland 5-4-1
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 4, draws 3, Poland wins 0

Standings

Group G
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 27:4 23 20
W D W W W
2 8 5 2 1 14:7 7 17
W D W W D
3 8 3 1 4 8:14 -6 10
L L W L W
4 8 1 2 5 4:19 -15 5
L W L D L
5 8 0 3 5 6:15 -9 3
L L L L D
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)