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WORLD › WORLD CUP
14.06.2026 20:00
AT&T Stadium
Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
Netherlands
Match Timeline
Japan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
51'
V. van Dijk · Assist: R. Gravenberch
Netherlands
⚽
57'
K. Nakamura · Assist: T. Kubo
Japan
🟨
61'
Crysencio Summerville
Netherlands
⚽
64'
C. Summerville · Assist: R. Gravenberch
Netherlands
🔄
66'
D. Maeda ↔ J. Ito
Japan
🔄
70'
D. Malen ↔ M. Depay
Netherlands
🔄
70'
T. Reijnders ↔ Q. Timber
Netherlands
🔄
70'
C. Summerville ↔ T. Koopmeiners
Netherlands
🔄
75'
T. Watanabe ↔ T. Tomiyasu
Japan
🔄
75'
R. Doan ↔ Y. Sugawara
Japan
🔄
75'
T. Kubo ↔ K. Ogawa
Japan
🔄
81'
R. Gravenberch ↔ N. Ake
Netherlands
🟨
83'
Memphis Depay
Netherlands
🔄
84'
A. Ueda ↔ K. Shiogai
Japan
🔄
85'
C. Gakpo ↔ B. Brobbey
Netherlands
⚽
89'
D. Kamada · Assist: K. Ogawa
Japan
🟨
90+1'
Micky van de Ven
Netherlands

Netherlands vs Japan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.2%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 56.2%
Draw 10%
Japan Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands0.75
Japan1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Japan Japan
WLDWL
3 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0
3
BTTS Yes
0
2
Over 2.5
0
4
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 4 matches
Japan Japan 3 matches
Netherlands Statistic Japan
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
5 Goals For 3
4 Goals Against 0
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0
3 BTTS Yes 0
3 Over 1.5 0
2 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 5.33
12 Total Shots 13.33
4.75 Corners 4.67
48.3% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 1 times, Japan won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Netherlands's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Netherlands 4-3-3 / Japan 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 1, draws 1, Japan wins 0

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 10:4 6 7
L W W D
2
Japan Away
3 1 2 0 7:3 4 5
L D W D
3 3 1 1 1 7:7 0 4
L D L W
4 3 0 0 3 2:12 -10 0
L L L
Round of 32