SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
King Khalid Sports City
Referee: A. Al Harbi
NEOM
Match Timeline
Al-Hazm
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
S. Benrahma · Assist: A. Kone
NEOM
🟨
51'
Nathan Zeze
NEOM
58'
A. Al Shanqiti · Assist: L. Rosier
Al-Hazm
🔄
61'
M. Al Saad ↔ L. Rodriguez
NEOM
🟨
62'
Abdulrahman Al-Khaibary
Al-Hazm
🟨
66'
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
NEOM
🔄
68'
A. Al Khaibary ↔ M. Carvalho
Al-Hazm
🔄
74'
F. Martins ↔ A. Al Shamrani
Al-Hazm
🔄
74'
E. Mokwana ↔ A. Al Dhuwayhi
Al-Hazm
🔄
77'
A. Al Oyayari ↔ M. Al Burayk
NEOM
🔄
77'
A. Lacazette ↔ A. Al Anzi
NEOM
🟨
83'
Ahmed Al-Shamrani
Al-Hazm
🔄
90+3'
A. Bah ↔ S. Tanker
Al-Hazm
🔄
90+3'
O. Al Somah ↔ A. Bamba Dieng
Al-Hazm

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
NEOM Win 84.2%
Draw 7.2%
Al-Hazm Win 8.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEOM1.44
Al-Hazm1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEOM NEOM
WWDLW
37 GF / 41 GA
Al-Hazm Al-Hazm
WLDWL
33 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
18
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
18
4.55
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEOM NEOM 29 matches
Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 29 matches
NEOM Statistic Al-Hazm
11 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
12 Losses 12
37 Goals For 33
41 Goals Against 49
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
18 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 10
4.55 Shots On Goal 4.14
12.83 Total Shots 11.48
4.9 Corners 4.07
51.4% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NEOM expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al-Hazm in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Hazm having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Al-Hazm. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

NEOM Analysis

From their first 29 matches, NEOM have collected 39 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 37:41 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Lacazette (11 goals), L. Rodriguez (6 goals), S. Benrahma (6 goals), with creative support from S. Benrahma (7 assists), A. Lacazette (4 assists), A. Doucoure (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Hazm Analysis

Al-Hazm are currently 9 in the standings with 37 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, while the 33:49 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Omar Al-Somah (6 goals), F. Martins (5 goals), Yousef Al-Shammari (5 goals), with creative support from F. Martins (4 assists), A. Sayoud (3 assists), N. Al Habashi (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, NEOM won 3 times, Al-Hazm won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from NEOM's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: NEOM 4-4-2 / Al-Hazm 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NEOM wins 3, draws 1, Al-Hazm wins 1
Stats
NEOM NEOM
Al-Hazm Al-Hazm
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 12
5 Offsides 3
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
461 Total passes 355
389 Passes accurate 289
2.52 expected_goals 1.32
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NEOM
Formation
Al-Hazm
M. Bulka
M. Bulka
A. Al Oyayari
A. Al Oyayari
K. Al Dawsari
K. Al Dawsari
N. Zeze
N. Zeze
F. Abdi
F. Abdi
M. Al Saad
M. Al Saad
A. Al Haji
A. Al Haji
A. Kone
🎯
A. Kone
R. Messi
R. Messi
A. Lacazette
A. Lacazette
S. Benrahma
S. Benrahma
I. Zaied
I. Zaied
A. Al Harbi
A. Al Harbi
A. Al Shanqiti
A. Al Shanqiti
A. Al Dakheel
A. Al Dakheel
A. Al Nakhli
A. Al Nakhli
L. Rosier
🎯
L. Rosier
E. Mokwana
E. Mokwana
A. Al Khaibary
A. Al Khaibary
A. Bah
A. Bah
F. Martins
F. Martins
O. Al Somah
O. Al Somah
NEOM 4-4-2
Starting XI
99
M. Bulka
G
15
A. Al Oyayari
↓ 77' 🟨 66'
D
4
K. Al Dawsari
D
44
N. Zeze
🟨 51'
D
25
F. Abdi
D
14
M. Al Saad
↓ 61'
M
18
A. Al Haji
72
A. Kone
🎯 7'
M
80
R. Messi
M
91
A. Lacazette
↓ 77'
F
10
S. Benrahma
⚽ 7'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Malayekah
G
26
A. Hegazy
D
7
S. Al Faraj
M
2
M. Al Burayk
↑ 77'
D
60
A. Al Anzi
↑ 77'
F
93
A. Al Saluli
D
19
L. Rodriguez
↑ 61'
F
27
I. Hawsawi
D
95
A. Fallatah
M
Al-Hazm 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
I. Zaied
G
82
A. Al Harbi
D
13
A. Al Shanqiti
⚽ 58'
D
34
A. Al Dakheel
D
27
A. Al Nakhli
D
32
L. Rosier
🎯 58'
M
17
E. Mokwana
↓ 74'
M
15
A. Al Khaibary
↓ 68' 🟨 62'
M
24
A. Bah
↓ 90+3'
M
10
F. Martins
↓ 74'
M
9
O. Al Somah
↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
33
M. Al Ghamdi
70
A. Al Shamrani
↑ 74' 🟨 83'
M
26
A. Al Dhuwayhi
↑ 74'
M
80
M. Carvalho
↑ 68'
M
4
S. Tanker
↑ 90+3'
D
5
M. Al Yami
2
S. Al Rashid
D
21
A. Bamba Dieng
↑ 90+3'
M
Last matches: NEOM
21.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fateh
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Najma
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
4
3
W
04.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
12.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Taawon
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Kholood
1
2
L
25.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Okhdood
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Damac
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
21.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
0
0
D
18.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
2
L
14.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
3
L
Last matches: Al-Hazm
21.05.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Taawon
2
0
W
14.05.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Najma
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
3
L
24.04.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Riyadh
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Fayha
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad FC
0
1
L
12.03.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Kholood
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Ettifaq
3
1
W
24.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad FC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
0
4
L
12.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Okhdood
2
1
W
05.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
2
L
01.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
29.01.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
0
4
L
26.01.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Damac
2
1
W
22.01.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Taawon
2
2
D
18.01.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
5
L
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Najma
3
2
W
H2H: NEOM vs Al-Hazm
28.04.26
H2H
NEOM
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
04.01.26
H2H
Al-Hazm
NEOM
1
2
W
23.09.25
H2H
Al-Hazm
NEOM
2
1
L
24.02.25
H2H
Al-Hazm
NEOM
0
2
W
05.10.24
H2H
NEOM
Al-Hazm
2
0
W
Last matches: NEOM
21.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
12.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Taawon
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Kholood
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Damac
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
18.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
2
L
10.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fateh
0
1
L
31.12.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
1
3
L
25.12.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Najma
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Nassr
1
3
L
24.10.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
18.09.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Okhdood
1
0
W
H2H at home: NEOM
28.04.26
H2H
NEOM
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
NEOM
Al-Hazm
2
0
W
Last matches: Al-Hazm
14.05.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Najma
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad FC
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
0
4
L
05.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
2
L
01.02.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
22.01.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Taawon
2
2
D
08.01.26
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
3
L
29.12.25
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Riyadh
2
1
W
25.12.25
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Fayha
0
0
D
21.11.25
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Kholood
2
1
W
31.10.25
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al-Ettifaq
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Okhdood
2
1
W
12.09.25
Pro
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
0
1
L
28.08.25
Pro
Al-Hazm
Damac
1
1
D
H2H away: Al-Hazm
28.04.26
H2H
NEOM
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
NEOM
Al-Hazm
2
0
L

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8
NEOM Home
34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation