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10.10.2026 16:00
Neman Stadium
Neman
Match Timeline
Baranovichi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
41'
S. Pushnyakov
Neman
🔄
46'
M. Bondarenko ↔ E. Torekul
Baranovichi
🟨
60'
Vladislav Karpenya
Baranovichi
🔄
62'
Z. Gitselev ↔ V. Balbukh
Baranovichi
⚽
64'
S. Pushnyakov · Assist: D. Girs
Neman
🔄
65'
D. Spataru ↔ A. Yakimov
Neman
🔄
75'
R. Lisakovich ↔ A. Nazarenko
Neman
🔄
75'
P. Savitskiy ↔ A. Ratkovic
Neman
🔄
75'
S. Pushnyakov ↔ A. Suchkov
Neman
🔄
77'
M. Artyukh ↔ M. Shevchenko
Baranovichi
🔄
77'
V. Potorocha ↔ A. Tuzakbaev
Baranovichi
⚽
85'
O. Evdokimov · Assist: A. Ratkovic
Neman
🔄
86'
O. Evdokimov ↔ A. Vasiljev
Neman
🟨
88'
Sherif Jimoh
Neman

Neman vs Baranovichi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Neman Win 67.3%
Draw 5.5%
Baranovichi Win 27.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Neman1.5
Baranovichi1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Neman Neman
L W W D W
7 GF / 5 GA
Baranovichi Baranovichi
L D W W D
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
16
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
14
1.14
Shots on Goal
1.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Neman Neman 35 matches
Baranovichi Baranovichi 31 matches
Neman Statistic Baranovichi
17 Wins 7
7 Draws 10
11 Losses 14
52 Goals For 33
33 Goals Against 47
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
16 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 12
1.14 Shots On Goal 1.43
0.55 Total Shots 0
2.14 Corners 1.83
22.2% Ball Possession 16.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Neman's more proactive style and Baranovichi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Neman arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 37 points compared to Baranovichi in 11 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Baranovichi. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Neman come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Neman Analysis

Neman are currently 6 in the standings with 37 points from 22 matches. The record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 26:20 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Baranovichi Analysis

So far, Baranovichi have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 25 points from 23 matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 24:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Neman won 2 times, Baranovichi won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Neman's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Neman 4-2-3-1 / Baranovichi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Neman wins 2, draws 1, Baranovichi wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 50:22 28 58
W W W W W
2 25 16 8 1 52:18 34 56
W W W W W
3 25 15 7 3 47:20 27 52
W W D L W
4 26 14 5 7 45:26 19 47
W D W W W
5
Neman Home
26 13 4 9 32:25 7 43
L L W W W
6 26 11 7 8 29:23 6 40
L W D W D
7 26 11 7 8 37:27 10 40
L D L W L
8 26 10 4 12 33:36 -3 34
L L L L W
9 26 9 6 11 32:35 -3 33
L W L W L
10 26 8 7 11 33:35 -2 31
W W L L L
11 26 7 7 12 27:43 -16 28
W L L L D
12 26 6 6 14 28:47 -19 24
L W L L W
13 26 5 9 12 24:44 -20 24
D L L L D
14 26 4 9 13 19:33 -14 21
L L L W L
15 26 3 11 12 24:40 -16 20
D W L L D
16 26 4 5 17 24:62 -38 17
L L W W D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga