Necaxa
Match Timeline
Toluca
Necaxa vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Necaxa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Necaxa1.22
Toluca1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Necaxa
WWDLW
33 GF / 40 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
56 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
15
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
15
4.7
Shots on Goal
5.66
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Necaxa
23 matches
Toluca
29 matches
| Necaxa | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 17 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 4 |
| 33 | Goals For | 56 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.93 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.7 | Shots On Goal | 5.66 |
| 15.3 | Total Shots | 17.21 |
| 5.09 | Corners | 5.48 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 2 times, Toluca won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:35 from Necaxa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-4-1-2 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 2, draws 3, Toluca wins 10
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Necaxa
Home
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs