Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
46.6%
|
3.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.72 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.22 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
8.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Necaxa
Puebla
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Necaxa
12 matches
Puebla
9 matches
| Necaxa | Statistic | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 18 | Goals For | 17 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.29 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 15.29 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 5.43 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 38.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Necaxa expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Puebla in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Puebla having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Necaxa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Puebla.
With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 12, Necaxa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Julián Carranza (2 goals), Juan Valencia (1 goals), Matías Espíndola (1 goals), with creative support from Juan Valencia (1 assists), Francisco Méndez (1 assists), Alexis Peña (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Puebla are currently 8 in the standings with 10 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Eduardo Mustre (1 goals), Fernando Monarrez (1 goals), Kevin Velasco (1 goals), with creative support from Alberto Herrera (2 assists), Eduardo Mustre (1 assists), Angel Leyva (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 7 times, Puebla won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Necaxa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Puebla
Away
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Necaxa
Home
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:21 | -18 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|