MEXICO LIGA MX
17.07.2026 01:00
Estadio Victoria
Referee: Y. Peinado Aguirre
Necaxa
Match Timeline
Atlante FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
35'
Danny Leyva
Necaxa
🟨
42'
Raúl Martínez
Necaxa
47'
Eugenio Pizzuto · Assist: Luis Calzadilla
Atlante FC
🔄
54'
Carlos Vargas ↔ Emilio Rodriguez
Necaxa
🔄
54'
Agustín Oliveros ↔ Francisco Méndez
Necaxa
🔄
64'
Armando Escobar ↔ Walter Clar
Atlante FC
🔄
66'
Juan Torres ↔ Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
Necaxa
🟨
69'
Nicolas Carrera
Atlante FC
🔄
72'
Luis Calzadilla ↔ Leonardo Mejía
Atlante FC
🔄
72'
Eugenio Pizzuto ↔ José González
Atlante FC
80'
Julián Carranza
Necaxa
🔄
81'
Lorenzo Faravelli ↔ Miguel Pedroza
Necaxa
🔄
83'
Luis Puente ↔ Jairón Charcopa
Atlante FC
🔄
83'
Eduardo Tercero ↔ Axl Padilla
Atlante FC
🟨
86'
Walter Portales
Atlante FC
90+3'
Miguel Pedroza · Assist: Julián Carranza
Necaxa
VAR
90+7'
Miguel Pedroza
Necaxa

Necaxa vs Atlante FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Necaxa Win 74.6%
Draw 11.5%
Atlante FC Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Necaxa1.98
Atlante FC1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Necaxa Necaxa
WWDLW
9 GF / 4 GA
Atlante FC Atlante FC
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Necaxa Necaxa 5 matches
Atlante FC Atlante FC 4 matches
Necaxa Statistic Atlante FC
3 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
0 Losses 1
9 Goals For 7
4 Goals Against 9
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
2 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 1 times, Atlante FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Necaxa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-4-2-1 / Atlante FC 5-3-2
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 1, draws 0, Atlante FC wins 0

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 15:6 9 17
W W D W W
2 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
4 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
8 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
10 8 3 2 3 11:12 -1 11
L W L D D
11 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
12 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 8 1 1 6 6:13 -7 4
W L D L L
18 8 0 0 8 4:23 -19 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)