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03.11.2026 13:00
FT
1 - 0
MTN Omondi Stadium
NEC
Match Timeline
UPDF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
49'
F. Bayo · Assist: E. Lubwama
NEC

NEC vs UPDF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NEC Win 61.5%
Draw 22.5%
UPDF Win 16.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC1.55
UPDF0.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC NEC
W W L W D
9 GF / 3 GA
UPDF UPDF
L L L W W
3 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC NEC 9 matches
UPDF UPDF 8 matches
NEC Statistic UPDF
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
18 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, NEC won 2 times, UPDF won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from NEC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.9%)
H2H summary: NEC wins 2, draws 3, UPDF wins 0

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
NEC Home
10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W W L W
2 9 7 2 0 18:6 12 23
W D W W D
3 10 6 3 1 19:6 13 21
L W D W W
4 10 5 4 1 11:4 7 19
W D D W D
5 9 6 1 2 12:6 6 19
W W W W W
6 10 5 2 3 19:5 14 17
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 10:13 -3 15
D W W D L
8 9 4 1 4 11:13 -2 13
W W W L D
9 10 4 1 5 11:15 -4 13
L L D W L
10 6 3 3 0 7:4 3 12
D W W W D
11 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
L D W D W
12 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
W D D D L
13
UPDF Away
9 2 2 5 4:8 -4 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 5:10 -5 8
L L W L W
15 10 2 2 6 6:15 -9 8
L L L D D
16 9 1 1 7 5:17 -12 4
L W L L L
17 9 1 1 7 6:22 -16 4
L D L L W
18 10 0 3 7 10:25 -15 3
L L D L L