Login Register
27.10.2026 13:00
MTN Omondi Stadium
NEC
Match Timeline
Ntugasaze
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
J. Otim
Ntugasaze
⚽
19'
I. Musa
NEC
⚽
45'
J. Jarieko
NEC
⚽
68'
F. Bayo
NEC
⚽
73'
J. Jarieko · Assist: I. Musa
NEC
⚽
88'
M. Oshaba
NEC

NEC vs Ntugasaze Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NEC Win 69.3%
Draw 20%
Ntugasaze Win 10.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC1.89
Ntugasaze0.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC NEC
L W D W D
7 GF / 3 GA
Ntugasaze Ntugasaze
L W L L L
3 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC NEC 7 matches
Ntugasaze Ntugasaze 6 matches
NEC Statistic Ntugasaze
4 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 5
12 Goals For 3
4 Goals Against 13
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by NEC's more proactive style and Ntugasaze's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ntugasaze. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ntugasaze having the stronger overall control. Ntugasaze arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. NEC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 14 points compared to Ntugasaze in 16 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

NEC Analysis

Placed 3 with 14 points from 7 outings, NEC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 12:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ntugasaze Analysis

Ntugasaze approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 3 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 3:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.3%)

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
NEC Home
10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W W L W
2 9 7 2 0 18:6 12 23
W D W W D
3 10 6 3 1 19:6 13 21
L W D W W
4 10 5 4 1 11:4 7 19
W D D W D
5 9 6 1 2 12:6 6 19
W W W W W
6 10 5 2 3 19:5 14 17
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 10:13 -3 15
D W W D L
8 9 4 1 4 11:13 -2 13
W W W L D
9 10 4 1 5 11:15 -4 13
L L D W L
10 6 3 3 0 7:4 3 12
D W W W D
11 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
L D W D W
12 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
W D D D L
13 9 2 2 5 4:8 -4 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 5:10 -5 8
L L W L W
15 10 2 2 6 6:15 -9 8
L L L D D
16 9 1 1 7 5:17 -12 4
L W L L L
17 9 1 1 7 6:22 -16 4
L D L L W
18 10 0 3 7 10:25 -15 3
L L D L L