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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
08.10.2026 16:00
MTN Omondi Stadium

NEC vs Express Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.46
BTTS
No
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.52
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
1.46 ▥
BTTS No
51.8%
1.52 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.6%
1.58 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
5.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
NEC Win 69.7%
Draw 15.5%
Express Win 14.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC1.75
Express0.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC NEC
WWDLW
9 GF / 2 GA
Express Express
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC NEC 4 matches
Express Express 4 matches
NEC Statistic Express
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
9 Goals For 3
2 Goals Against 4
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 0
2 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, NEC won 2 times, Express won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from NEC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.2%)
H2H summary: NEC wins 2, draws 2, Express wins 1

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 11:3 8 12
W W W W
2 5 3 2 0 8:2 6 11
D W W W D
3
NEC Home
4 3 1 0 9:2 7 10
W D W W
4 4 3 0 1 5:3 2 9
L W W W
5 4 2 1 1 3:1 2 7
W D L W
6 4 2 1 1 3:2 1 7
D L W W
7 5 2 0 3 8:6 2 6
W L L W L
8 5 2 0 3 4:9 -5 6
L L W L W
9 3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
W D D
10 4 1 2 1 2:2 0 5
W D L D
11 4 1 1 2 3:4 -1 4
D L W L
12 4 1 1 2 1:4 -3 4
W D L L
13 2 1 0 1 3:1 2 3
W L
14 3 1 0 2 3:6 -3 3
L L W
15 5 1 0 4 3:11 -8 3
W L L L L
16 4 0 2 2 0:2 -2 2
L D D L
17 4 0 2 2 2:6 -4 2
D L L D
18 4 0 1 3 1:6 -5 1
L L D L