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08.10.2026 16:00
MTN Omondi Stadium

NEC vs Express Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
51.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NEC Win 69.7%
Draw 15.5%
Express Win 14.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC1.75
Express0.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC NEC
W D W W
9 GF / 2 GA
Express Express
D L W L
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC NEC 4 matches
Express Express 4 matches
NEC Statistic Express
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
9 Goals For 3
2 Goals Against 4
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 0
2 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, NEC won 2 times, Express won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from NEC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.2%)
H2H summary: NEC wins 2, draws 2, Express wins 1

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
NEC Home
10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W W L W
2 9 7 2 0 18:6 12 23
W D W W D
3 10 6 3 1 19:6 13 21
L W D W W
4 10 5 4 1 11:4 7 19
W D D W D
5 9 6 1 2 12:6 6 19
W W W W W
6 10 5 2 3 19:5 14 17
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 10:13 -3 15
D W W D L
8 9 4 1 4 11:13 -2 13
W W W L D
9 10 4 1 5 11:15 -4 13
L L D W L
10 6 3 3 0 7:4 3 12
D W W W D
11 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
L D W D W
12 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
W D D D L
13 9 2 2 5 4:8 -4 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 5:10 -5 8
L L W L W
15 10 2 2 6 6:15 -9 8
L L L D D
16 9 1 1 7 5:17 -12 4
L W L L L
17 9 1 1 7 6:22 -16 4
L D L L W
18 10 0 3 7 10:25 -15 3
L L D L L