UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
MTN Omondi Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
76.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
82.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
NEC Win 100%
Draw 0%
Buhimba Saints Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC1.46
Buhimba Saints0.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC NEC
WWDLW
27 GF / 16 GA
Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints
WLDWL
16 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.59
0.59
Average Goals Conceded
2.15
10
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC NEC 27 matches
Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints 27 matches
NEC Statistic Buhimba Saints
12 Wins 4
12 Draws 3
3 Losses 20
27 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 58
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.59
0.59 Avg Goals Conceded 2.15
10 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 19
5 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 8
16 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around NEC's more proactive style and Buhimba Saints's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. NEC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 48 points compared to Buhimba Saints in 16 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Buhimba Saints arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Buhimba Saints. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Buhimba Saints having the stronger overall control.

NEC Analysis

NEC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 48 points after 27 outings. With 12 wins, 12 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 27:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Dhata (3 goals), H. Sebwalunyo (2 goals), J. Seremba (2 goals), with creative support from H. Sebwalunyo (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Buhimba Saints Analysis

Buhimba Saints approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 15 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 20 defeats with a 16:58 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Agondeze (7 goals), R. Ayiko (3 goals), A. Ntege (2 goals), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, NEC won 2 times, Buhimba Saints won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from NEC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: NEC wins 2, draws 0, Buhimba Saints wins 0
Last matches: NEC
23.05.26
Pre
NEC
Calvary
0
2
L
20.05.26
Pre
NEC
SC Villa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Pre
NEC
Kitara
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pre
NEC
BUL
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
NEC
Mbarara City
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
NEC
Express
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
NEC
Maroons
1
0
W
09.04.26
Pre
NEC
URA
1
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
NEC
Police
1
0
W
10.03.26
Pre
NEC
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
NEC
Lugazi
2
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
NEC
UPDF
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
NEC
Vipers
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
NEC
KCCA
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
NEC
Express
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
NEC
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
NEC
Kitara
3
3
D
07.01.26
Pre
NEC
Lugazi
1
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
NEC
UPDF
0
0
D
12.12.25
Pre
NEC
KCCA
1
2
L
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
22.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
19.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
4
L
21.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
0
4
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
4
L
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
1
3
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
1
L
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
H2H: NEC vs Buhimba Saints
13.05.26
H2H
NEC
Buhimba Saints
3
0
W
27.01.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
W
Last matches: NEC
20.05.26
Pre
NEC
SC Villa
1
4
L
24.04.26
Pre
NEC
Mbarara City
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
NEC
Maroons
1
0
W
09.04.26
Pre
NEC
URA
1
0
W
10.03.26
Pre
NEC
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
NEC
UPDF
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pre
NEC
KCCA
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
NEC
Express
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
NEC
Kitara
3
3
D
07.01.26
Pre
NEC
Lugazi
1
0
W
05.12.25
Pre
NEC
Vipers
1
1
D
25.11.25
Pre
NEC
Calvary
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
NEC
BUL
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pre
NEC
Police
2
2
D
H2H at home: NEC
13.05.26
H2H
NEC
Buhimba Saints
3
0
W
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
19.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
4
L
24.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
1
3
L
16.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
1
L
03.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
0
4
L
26.11.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
URA
3
7
L
08.11.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
2
5
L
23.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
3
L
26.09.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
0
W
H2H away: Buhimba Saints
13.05.26
H2H
NEC
Buhimba Saints
3
0
L